San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction – 8/4/2025
The San Francisco Giants will square off with the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on Monday night. The Pirates will welcome back one of their starting pitchers for his season debut in this game against an experienced starter on the San Francisco side. Before first pitch from Pittsburgh, keep reading to get my Giants vs Pirates prediction.
Our Giants vs Pirates Pick
- Pick: Giants Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates |
| Date & Time | August 4, 2025, 3:40 PM PDT |
| Starting Pitchers | Justin Verlander vs. Johan Oviedo |
| Stadium | PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Broadcast | MLB.tv |
Key Storylines to Watch
Pitching Matchup: Justin Verlander will get the start for the Giants in this game. Verlander is just 1-8 this season and has a 4.53 ERA. He has allowed just one earned run over his last two starts and will look to continue rounding into form tonight. Verlander will be opposed by Pittsburgh’s Johan Oviedo. Oviedo is making his season debut for the Pirates in this game.
Bullpen Usage: The Pirates’ bullpen will need to be at its best to contend with that of the Giants in this game. The Giants rank fifth in the league in bullpen ERA and will look to shut the Pirates down late in this contest.
Team Momentum: The Giants have won two of their last three games and won their most recent series against the New York Mets. Pittsburgh lost two out of three to the Colorado Rockies in their last series.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Bryan Reynolds | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Wilmer Flores | RBI | Over 0.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Pirates lead the season series between these teams 3-0.
- The Pirates swept the Giants in San Francisco about a week ago and will look for a similar result at home this week.
- Games between the Pirates and Giants are 2-1 to the under so far this season.
Giants vs Pirates Model Projection
Projected Score: Giants 5 – Pirates 3
Win Probability: Giants 62% | Pirates 38%
Final Thoughts
I don’t think it is unreasonable to expect some rust on the mound from Johan Oviedo of the Pirates in this contest. Justin Verlander is pitching better lately than he did for most of his 2025 campaign. I think all of that adds up to a road win for the Giants, who have the advantage in the bullpens if this game is close late.
