San Francisco Giants vs Oakland Athletics Pick – 7/6/2025

The San Francisco Giants and (now Sacramento) Athletics square off on Sunday, July 6, in the finale of their three-game set at Sutter Health Park. These teams split the first two games of this series and the winner of this rubber match will have bragging rights in this California-based rivalry. Here, I break down this interleague game and give you my Giants vs Athletics prediction.

Our Giants vs Athletics Pick

  • Pick: San Francisco Giants moneyline
  • Confidence: ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs Athletics
  • Date & Time: Sunday, July 6, 2025, 10:05 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Athletics – Jorge López, Giants – Hayden Birdsong
  • Stadium: Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA
  • Broadcast: NBCS‑CA / NBCS‑BA

Key Storylines

Pitching Form

  • Giants’ starter Hayden Birdsong has a 3-3 record and a 4.30 ERA. But he needs to do a better job of controlling his pitches, as he has allowed 28 walks in 60.2 innings of work.
  • Athletics’ Jorge López has a 2-4 record and a 3.88 ERA. He has 56 strikeouts in 46.1 innings of work, which is something for strikeout prop bettors to keep in mind.

Bullpen Usage

San Francisco holds the best bullpen ERA in the league, while the Athletics rank 29 out of 30 MLB teams in that category. If this game comes down to the bullpens, the A’s are at a huge disadvantage.

Recent Team Streaks

Both teams are 3-2 in their last five games. The A’s have been slightly better over their last 10 outings, going 5-5, while the Giants are 4-6 in their last 10.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropLine
Heliot Ramos (SF)Home Run+300
Rafael Devers (SF)Over 1.5 Total Bases+100
  • The A’s have gone over the total in 56% of their games. That percentage ranks fourth-highest among MLB teams this season.
  • The Athletics are 11-9 as favorites so far this season.
  • The Giants have a 4-1 advantage in the season series between these teams this year. This is the final game scheduled between these teams for the season.

Athletics vs Giants Model Projection

  • Score Projection: Giants 5 – Athletics 4
  • Win Probability: Giants 51% · Athletics 49%

Final Thoughts

The Athletics have not been favorites very often this season but have done reasonably well in that role. Still, I’m not sold that they can do enough damage against Birdsong to hold onto this one late. The bullpen mismatch in this game is a great reason for me to back the Giants to win this contest, in a close game that will be decided by the relief pitching mismatch in Sacramento.


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Home MLB Picks San Francisco Giants vs Oakland Athletics Pick – 7/6/2025