San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Prediction – 8/1/2025
The San Francisco Giants will face the New York Mets on Friday night at Citi Field in New York. The Mets swept the Giants in San Francisco earlier in the season. The Giants will look for revenge in Queens this weekend. Before the action begins in this National League matchup, keep reading to get my Giants vs Mets prediction for tonight.
Our Giants vs Mets Pick
- Pick: Mets Moneyline
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
| Matchup | San Francisco Giants vs. New York Mets |
| Date & Time | August 1, 2025, 7:10 PM ET |
| Starting Pitchers | Robbie Ray vs. David Peterson |
| Stadium | Citi Field, New York, NY |
| Broadcast | MLB Network |
Key Storylines to Watch
Team Momentum: Both teams are struggling heading into this matchup. The Mets have lost three games in a row after being swept by the San Diego Padres. The Giants have lost six straight games. That includes a shocking three-game sweep at home against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Pitching Matchup: We are in for a very good starting pitching matchup in this game. Robbie Ray takes the bump for the Giants. He is 9-5 and has a 2.93 ERA on the season. He will face off against David Peterson. Peterson is 7-4 and has a 2.83 ERA for the year. Both teams should make it tough on their opponent to score runs in this matchup.
Offensive Production: The Mets average 4.34 runs per game. That is slightly higher than the Giants’ 4.06 runs per game. But both teams are capable of scoring in bunches when they are at their best offensively.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | Home Runs | Over 0.5 |
| Francisco Lindor | Total Bases | Over 1.5 |
| Juan Soto | Hits | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & Head-to-Head
- The Mets are 3-0 against the Giants so far this season.
- Two of the three games between these teams have gone under their totals this season.
- The Mets have scored one run combined in their last two games.
- The Giants have scored two runs combined in their last two games.
Giants vs Mets Model Projection
Projected Score: Mets 5 – Giants 3
Win Probability: Mets 65% | Giants 35%
Final Thoughts
If I had to pick one team to break out of its offensive slump in this matchup, it would be the Mets. Both pitching staffs are going to make things tough on the other side in this matchup. But the Mets are the better offensive team and Ray has been less consistent than Peterson of late. I’ll go with the Mets to end their losing streak and to hand the Giants their seventh loss in a row.
