San Francisco Giants vs New York Mets Pick – 8/3/2025
The Mets and Giants will close out their weekend series at Citi Field on Sunday. New York evened the series with a dominant 12‑6 win in Game 2 on Saturday. That sets up a rubber match on Sunday where the winner will take an important series to both of these teams. Before the action begins in Queens, you can keep reading to get my breakdown of the game, including my Giants vs Mets prediction.
Our Giants vs Mets Pick
- Pick: Over 8.5
- Confidence: ★★★
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: San Francisco Giants at New York Mets
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 3, 2025, 1:40 p.m. ET
- Starting Pitchers: Carson Whisenhunt vs Frankie Montas
- Stadium: Citi Field, Queens, NY
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
San Francisco sends rookie left‑hander Carson Whisenhunt to the hill in this game. His ERA sits at 7.20 after an up-and-down debut for the Giants. New York counters with Frankie Montas. Montas’ 5.46 ERA and 1.45 WHIP are far from impressive. But Montas has a 3‑1 record and will look for some run support as he aims to get another win in this game.
Key Players
Pete Alonso blasted his 250th career home run in Saturday’s win and added more run production with a double and three RBIs. Alonso is hitting .262 with 24 homers and 86 RBI this year. Francisco Lindor also chipped in four RBI on Saturday. The Giants will rely on the contributions of Willy Adames, who went deep and tallied two RBI on Saturday. Adames is batting .235 with 17 homers and 59 RBI for the season.
Recent team streaks
New York snapped their four-game losing streak with a much-needed win over the Giants on Saturday. The Giants come into this contest with four losses in their last five games.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop Type | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso | Home runs | Over 0.5 |
| Frankie Montas | Strikeouts | Under 5.5 |
| Francisco Lindor | Total bases | Over 1.5 |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Mets lead the season series between these teams 4-1 in 2025.
- This is the final meeting between the Mets and Giants in the regular season.
Giants vs Mets Model Projection
Score Projection: Mets 6 – Giants 5
Win Probability: Mets 55%, Giants 45%
Final Thoughts
I don’t like the starting pitching situation for either team heading into this game. I think that we will see another high-scoring game between the Mets and Giants, similar to what we saw on Saturday. The over is my favorite play in the betting markets for this contest, as the power bats on both sides should have a field day against suspect starting pitching.
