San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 6/12/2025

On June 12, 2025, the Colorado Rockies will host the San Francisco Giants at Coors Field for the third game of their series. The Rockies are struggling tremendously this season with a record of 12-55, while the Giants sit at a respectable 40-28. The Giants are coming off a strong performance, but the Rockies are desperate to turn their season around.

Antonio Senzatela will take the mound for Colorado, bringing with him a dismal 1-10 record and an ERA of 6.68, which ranks him as the 295th best starting pitcher in MLB. He has shown some signs of being unlucky, as indicated by his 4.74 xFIP, but the projections still expect him to allow 3.7 earned runs over an average of 5.0 innings. Facing him is Hayden Birdsong, who has been much more effective with a record of 3-1 and an impressive ERA of 2.55. However, his xFIP of 3.96 suggests he may not maintain this level of performance. Birdsong projects to pitch 4.5 innings and allow 3.2 earned runs, which isn't stellar but could be enough against a struggling Rockies offense.

As for the offensive matchups, the Rockies rank dead last (30th) in MLB in runs scored and team batting average, making it tough for them to capitalize on any pitching mistakes. In contrast, the Giants' offense, while not elite, ranks 24th overall and should find some success against Senzatela.

Given the Rockies’ current form and the Giants’ solid pitching, San Francisco is favored to win, with projections indicating they could score as many as 6.50 runs. Meanwhile, Colorado's implied total of 4.50 runs reflects their ongoing struggles at the plate. With a high Game Total of 11.0 runs, this matchup promises to be an intriguing one for both fans and bettors alike.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Hayden Birdsong has gone to his slider 6.5% more often this season (24.9%) than he did last year (18.4%).

• Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants' bullpen profiles as the best among all teams in Major League Baseball.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.

Ryan McMahon will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants has just 1 same-handed RP.

• Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.

As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Colorado Rockies are expected to tally the 2nd-most runs (5.92 on average) of all teams on the slate.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Game Trends

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.30 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jordan Beck has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+5.90 Units / 52% ROI)

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: San Francisco Giants 6.39, Colorado Rockies 5.92

• Date: June 12, 2025
• Venue: Coors Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Hayden Birdsong - Giants
  • Antonio Senzatela - Rockies

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