San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Prediction – 6/10/2025

The San Francisco Giants will face off against the Colorado Rockies in a National League West matchup on June 10, 2025, at Coors Field. Both teams are having very different seasons, with the Rockies finding themselves at the bottom of the NL West standings with a record of 12-53, while the Giants sit at a more respectable 38-28. Notably, the Giants' bullpen has been outstanding, currently ranked 1st in MLB, which could be a significant factor in today's game.

In their last outing, the Giants' offense was solid, contributing to their recent success despite being ranked 25th in MLB overall. Meanwhile, the Rockies' lineup has struggled significantly, ranking 29th in MLB for offensive production and dead last in team batting average. This stark contrast in offensive capabilities poses a challenging situation for Rockies' starting pitcher Carson Palmquist, who has yet to secure a win this season with a 0-4 record and a troubling ERA of 8.50.

Palmquist, projected to pitch 4.5 innings today, is expected to allow 3.4 earned runs, which is concerning given the Giants' offensive firepower. On the other hand, Kyle Harrison, the Giants' starter, holds an average ERA of 4.34 and is projected to pitch slightly longer than Palmquist. The projections suggest he may allow 3.2 earned runs, which is manageable against a struggling Rockies offense.

With the Giants favored heavily in this matchup, the Rockies will need their best hitters to step up significantly if they hope to pull off an upset. With a Game Total set at a high 11.5 runs, scoring could be plentiful, favoring the Giants' chances to continue their strong performance against a Rockies team that remains in a downward spiral.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Kyle Harrison is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.8% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #7 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.

• This pitcher's skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jung Hoo Lee has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

• Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants' bullpen grades out as the best among all teams in Major League Baseball.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Colorado Rockies:

The San Francisco Giants have 8 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Palmquist in this game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

• Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.

Extreme groundball batters like Orlando Arcia tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the Colorado Rockies are expected to record the 2nd-most runs (5.67 on average) of all teams on the slate.

• THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Game Trends

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 42 of their last 64 games (+17.07 Units / 23% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 43% ROI)
• Tyler Freeman has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 66% ROI)

San Francisco Giants vs Colorado Rockies Prediction

Predicted Final Score: San Francisco Giants 6.88, Colorado Rockies 5.67

• Date: June 10, 2025
• Venue: Coors Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Kyle Harrison - Giants
  • Carson Palmquist - Rockies

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