San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox Prediction – 6/27/2025

As the Chicago White Sox prepare to host the San Francisco Giants on June 27, 2025, these two teams are heading in opposite directions in the standings. The White Sox, languishing with a record of 26-55, are struggling significantly this season. Meanwhile, the Giants stand in a more favorable position with a record of 44-37, showcasing their above-average performance.

In their previous outing, Aaron Civale of the White Sox delivered a disappointing start, further highlighting his challenging season. He has compiled a 1-4 record with a 5.03 ERA, ranking as the 203rd best starting pitcher according to Power Rankings. Civale is projected to pitch 5.2 innings and allow 3.0 earned runs today, which does not inspire confidence given the White Sox's 30th-ranked offense that struggles to produce runs.

Conversely, Giants’ starter Landen Roupp is having a solid season, holding a 5-5 record with a respectable 3.67 ERA. Although projections suggest he might have been a bit lucky this year, Roupp's performance has been steady enough to warrant confidence. He pitches to contact with a groundball rate of 47%, which could be effective against a White Sox lineup that ranks 30th in home runs, contributing to their overall lack of offensive firepower.

The Game Total is set at 8.5 runs, suggesting a competitive matchup, but the Giants possess a higher implied team total of 4.74 runs compared to the White Sox's estimated 3.76 runs. Given the current trends and statistics, San Francisco enters this game as the favorite, but Chicago could surprise if their hitters find a way to elevate their game, even slightly.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Willy Adames has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

• The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants' bullpen profiles as the best among all teams in the majors.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Chicago White Sox:

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

• Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.

Josh Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.2-mph EV last year has dropped to 86.5-mph.

• Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.

Lenyn Sosa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Game Trends

• The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 40 games at home (+9.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.85 Units / 13% ROI)
• Josh Rojas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White Sox Prediction

Predicted Final Score: San Francisco Giants 5.44, Chicago White Sox 4.32

• Date: June 27, 2025
• Venue: Guaranteed Rate Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Landen Roupp - Giants
  • Aaron Civale - White Sox

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