San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Prediction – 7/23/2025

The San Francisco Giants head into Truist Park on Wednesday seeking a series win over the Atlanta Braves. The Giants snapped a six‑game skid with a dominant 9‑0 victory in game two of this three-game set yesterday. Atlanta enters as the favorite in this rubber match that features an interesting starting pitching matchup. Continue reading to get my thoughts, including my Giants vs Braves prediction.

Our Giants vs Braves Pick

  • Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Francisco Giants @ Atlanta Braves
  • Date & Time: Wednesday, July 23, 2025, 12:15 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Justin Verlander (SF, 0‑8, 4.99 ERA) vs Spencer Strider (ATL, 4‑7, 3.59 ERA)
  • Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
  • Broadcast: MLB Network, FanDuel Sports Southeast, NBCS‑BA

Key Storylines

  1. Pitching form: Spencer Strider has posted a respectable 3.59 ERA. He has punched out 82 batters over 67.2 innings and is starting to look like the Cy Young contender he was expected to be again. Justin Verlander is struggling in 2025. He is winless on the season and has given up 92 hits in 79.1 innings of work.
  2. Bullpen usage: The Giants have one of the best bullpens in baseball. They rank second in the league in bullpen ERA and their bullpen helped them secure a shutout win on Tuesday.
  3. Recent streaks: Both teams are 1-1 over their last two games. The Giants snapped a six-game losing streak with their win last night in Atlanta.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Rafael DeversOver 1.5 Total Bases
Matt OlsonOver 1.5 Hits
Spencer StriderOver 6.5 Strikeouts
  • The Giants lead the season series between these teams by a 4-1 margin.
  • This game is the final time these teams are scheduled to play in the 2025 regular season.
  • The Braves are 26-25 at home on the year. The Giants are 25-29 on the road.

Giants vs Braves Model Projection

Score Projection: Braves 5 – Giants 4

Win Probability: Braves 54%, Giants 46%

Final Thoughts

At this point, I cannot justify backing Justin Verlander in a game he is pitching. Verlander has had a dreadful 2025 season and I see that continuing today against a potent Atlanta offense. I expect the Braves to win this game and secure a much-needed series win as they look to claw their way closer to NL Wild Card contention in the coming weeks and months.


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