San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Pick – 7/22/2025

The Atlanta Braves and San Francisco Giants will face off on Tuesday night. Atlanta won the first game of their current three-game series on Monday night thanks to an impressive offensive display. Can they do more damage at the plate tonight? Find out what I think below as I bring you my Giants vs Braves prediction for this National League contest.

Our Giants vs Braves Pick

  • Pick: Giants moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves
  • Date & Time: Tuesday, July 22, 2025, 7:15 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Landen Roupp (SF) vs Davis Daniel (ATL)
  • Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
  • Broadcast: FDSSO & NBCS-BA

Key Storylines

Pitching Form

  • Landen Roupp: Roupp is 6–6 and has a 3.27 ERA for the Giants this season. Limiting walks is the key to Roupp’s success. He has given up 41 walks in 96.1 innings. That has inflated his WHIP to 1.45, which is a concern.
  • Davis Daniel: Daniel is making his second start. He is sporting a 1.80 ERA this year. He went four innings in his first start and will look to give the Braves more longevity on the hill this time around.

Bullpen Usage

  • The Giants dropped out of the top spot in the majors in bullpen ERA after struggling yesterday against the Braves. Their pen is now second to the San Diego Padres in that statistical category.
  • The Braves weren’t great with their bullpen last night either. But they did enough to win that game.

Recent Team Streaks

  • The Giants have lost six games in a row and need to turn things around quickly.
  • The Braves are 2-3 in their last five games but did manage to get a win last night.

Best Player Props

PlayerHome Runs PropTotal Bases Prop
Matt OlsonOver 0.5Over 1.5
Sean MurphyN/AOver 1.5
Willy AdamesN/AOver 1.5
Rafael DeversOver 0.5Over 1.5
  • The Giants hold a 3-1 lead in the season series between these teams in spite of their loss on Monday.
  • The home team is now 4-0 in games played by these teams this season.
  • The over/under has been split 2-2 in the four previous games between Atlanta and San Francisco.

Giants vs Braves Model Projection

Score Projection: Giants 5 – Braves 4

Win Probability: Giants 53%, Braves 47%

Final Thoughts

I think we see a close game between these teams tonight. But the pitching advantages for the Giants make them a decent value as a slight underdog. Daniel’s lack of experience is a concern for Atlanta on the mound in this matchup. The Giants also have the better bullpen, which should help them get across the line with a win. I’m taking the Giants on the moneyline here.


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Home MLB Picks San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Pick – 7/22/2025