San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Pick – 7/21/2025

The San Francisco Giants head to Truist Park to face the Atlanta Braves on Monday night. The Giants come into this game just one spot shy of the final National League Wild Card position. They will look to draw closer to a playoff position by winning this game on the road in a very difficult place to win. Continue reading to get my Giants vs Braves prediction ahead of this National League tilt.

Our Giants vs Braves Pick

  • Pick: San Francisco Giants Moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★
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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves
  • Date & Time: Monday, July 21, 2025, 7:15 pm ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Hayden Birdsong vs Bryce Elder
  • Stadium: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
  • Broadcast: FDSSO, NBCS-BA

Key Storylines

  • The Giants are looking to snap a four-game losing streak with a win here.
  • The Braves are looking to end a two-game losing streak of their own.
  • Atlanta is running out of time to turn their season around. They are 10.5 games out of a Wild Card position and can’t afford to lose many more games.

Pitching Form

  • Hayden Birdsong is 4-3 with a 4.11 ERA for the Giants on the year. He has strikeout stuff but his control is inconsistent.
  • Bryce Elder has struggled in 2025. He is 3-6 and has a 5.65 ERA and will look to spark a turnaround in this start.

Bullpen Usage

  • The Giants have the best bullpen ERA in baseball at 3.17.
  • Atlanta’s bullpen isn’t bad either. They have a 3.84 bullpen ERA but any bullpen looks bad next to that of the Giants.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Mike YastrzemskiOver 1.5 Total Bases
Matt OlsonOver 0.5 Home Runs
Bryce ElderOver 5.5 Strikeouts
  • The Giants are 3-0 against the Braves so far this season. They swept the Braves in San Francisco earlier in the year.
  • Atlanta is 25-24 at home entering this series opener. The Giants are 24-28 away from home.
  • Both teams have gone under the total in over 53% of their games in 2025.

Giants vs Braves Model Projection

Score Projection: San Francisco 5 – Atlanta 4

Win Probability: San Francisco 53%, Atlanta 47%

Final Thoughts

I am not ready to keep waiting for the Atlanta Braves to turn their season around. The truth of the matter is that the Braves are just not the team we expected them to be going into this season. The Giants are playing better baseball and have the better starting pitcher and bullpen going into this contest. I’ll take the Giants to win this matchup on the road.


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Home MLB Picks San Francisco Giants vs Atlanta Braves Pick – 7/21/2025