San Francisco Giants vs Athletics Pick – 7/4/2025

The San Francisco Giants make the short trip to Sutter Health Park in West Sacramento on Friday night for a showdown against the Athletics. This game has lost a bit of its luster for me, now that it is no longer the Battle For the Bay, with the A’s leaving Oakland. But we should still see a competitive game and I will give you my Giants vs Athletics prediction for Friday night.

Our Giants vs Athletics Pick

Pick: San Francisco Giants moneyline (-110)

Confidence: 3.5 ★

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Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Francisco Giants vs Oakland Athletics
  • Date & Time: Friday, July 4, 2025, 10:05 p.m. ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Justin Verlander (SF) vs JP Sears (OAK)
  • Stadium: Sutter Health Park, West Sacramento, CA
  • Broadcast: MLB Network, NBCS‑CA, NBCS‑BA

Key Storylines

Pitching Form

Justin Verlander is winless as a member of the San Francisco Giants. He is 0-5 with a 4.26 ERA, but his individual numbers aren’t quite as bad as his record would suggest. JP Sears of the Athletics is coming off of one of the best starts of his career at Yankee Stadium. But his 5.09 ERA is proof that he has trouble sustaining his level on the bump.

Bullpen Usage

The Giants bullpen is the best in baseball, leading the league with a bullpen ERA of 2.95. Meanwhile, the A’s have the second-worst bullpen ERA in baseball at 5.77. I recommend that bettors keep an eye out for live betting lines where you can exploit that bullpen mismatch.

Recent Team Streaks

San Francisco has won two games in a row going into this contest. They dropped the first two games of their four-game set with the Arizona Diamondbacks, but managed to salvage a series split. The Athletics recently took two out of three against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Best Player Props

PlayerPropLine
Rafael Devers (SF)Home RunsOver 0.5 (+255)
Justin VerlanderStrikeoutsOver 4.5 (-160)
Jacob Wilson (OAK)Total BasesOver 1.5 (-115)
  • Giants: 47–41 overall, 22-24 away.
  • Athletics: 36–53 overall, 15-27 at home.
  • Public money shows 70 % backing for the Giants on the road.
  • In head‑to‑head this season, San Francisco swept a three‑game series in May.

Giants vs Athletics Model Projection

Score Projection: Giants 6 – Athletics 4

Win Probability: Giants 52% / Athletics 48%

Final Thoughts

Verlander’s veteran savvy and San Francisco’s elite bullpen give the Giants an edge, despite Sears’ recent strong outing against the Yankees. I expect a one‑run Giants victory in a close, low‑scoring affair with Verlander finally breaking through for his first win as a Giant.


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Home MLB Picks San Francisco Giants vs Athletics Pick – 7/4/2025