San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pick – 7/3/2025
The San Francisco Giants and Arizona Diamondbacks wrap up their four-game series on Thursday, July 3, 2025, in a late-night showdown at Chase Field. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET, and here you will find my Giants vs Diamondbacks prediction before first pitch in Phoenix. Robbie Ray is in top form, entering the night with an 8‑3 record with a 2.75 ERA over 17 starts. He averages a strikeout rate north of 10 K/9. Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt has struggled, owning a 5.38 ERA and we need to see more from him if the Diamondbacks are going to come away with a win at home in this game. San Francisco’s bullpen is MLB‑elite, ranking first in bullpen ERA (2.95) and known for lockdown late innings. Arizona’s pen is more vulnerable, with a 5.22 ERA that ranks in the bottom five in the league. The Diamondbacks have gone 2–3 recently, but they have won two of the first three games in this series. Meanwhile, San Francisco has dropped seven of their last 10 games, though they did win in Arizona last night. Score Projection: Giants 4 – Diamondbacks 5 Win Probability: Giants 46%, Diamondbacks 54% Despite Ray’s dominance on the mound, Arizona’s offensive depth gives the D‑backs an edge at home tonight. Betting patterns show sharp resistance to the Giants line, and historical trends support backing Arizona. My model leans toward a close win for the Diamondbacks, as Pfaadt should do just enough to keep his team in this game and let Arizona’s bats make the difference.Our Giants vs Diamondbacks Pick
Game Snapshot
Key Storylines
Pitching form
Bullpen usage
Recent team streaks
Best Player Props
Player Prop Odds Robbie Ray Over 5.5 Ks −150 Brandon Pfaadt Over 4.5 Ks −155 Ketel Marte Over 1.5 Total Bases -115 Betting Trends & H2H
Giants vs Diamondbacks Model Projection
Final Thoughts
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