San Francisco Giants at Tampa Bay Rays Prediction For 4/14/2024

San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays Overview

• Date: April 14, 2024
• Venue: Tropicana Field
• Starting Pitchers:
  • Blake Snell - Giants
  • Garrett Cleavinger - Rays
• Run Line: Giants -1.5 140, Rays 1.5 -160
• Money Line: Giants -120, Rays 100
• Total (Over/Under):8 -110

San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays Win Probabilities

Implied Win %:

• San Francisco Giants - 52%
• Tampa Bay Rays - 48%

Projected Win %:

• San Francisco Giants - 56.38%
• Tampa Bay Rays - 43.62%

San Francisco Giants vs Tampa Bay Rays Game Preview & Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays are set to take on the San Francisco Giants in an interleague matchup on April 14, 2024, at Tropicana Field. The Rays, with a record of 8-7, are having an above-average season, while the Giants, with a record of 6-9, are struggling.

The Rays will have the home-field advantage as they face the Giants. They boast a strong offense, ranking 17th best in MLB this season. Their team batting average ranks 9th, and they are 4th in home runs and 2nd in stolen bases. On the other hand, the Giants' offense has struggled, ranking 24th overall. They are 21st in team batting average, 19th in home runs, and 29th in stolen bases.

The Rays are projected to start left-handed pitcher Garrett Cleavinger, while the Giants will counter with lefty Blake Snell. Snell, according to our advanced-stat Power Rankings, is considered the 27th best starting pitcher in MLB. However, his performance this season has been subpar, with a win/loss record of 0-1 and an ERA of 9.00. Despite this, his xFIP suggests he has been unlucky and is likely to perform better going forward.

In terms of bullpen strength, the Giants have the top-ranked bullpen in MLB, according to our Power Rankings, while the Rays' bullpen ranks 19th. This could give the Giants an advantage late in the game.

The Rays' offense has been led by their best hitter, who has played in several games but is not specified in the provided information. In their last game, the Rays played against an unknown opponent, while the Giants played against another unknown opponent.

Based on the current odds, the Giants have an implied win probability of 54%, while the Rays have a 46% chance of winning. The game total is set at 8.0 runs, which is considered average.

Quick Takes San Francisco Giants:

Blake Snell's 2428.8-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 86th percentile among all starters.

• Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.

Extreme flyball hitters like Mike Yastrzemski tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Cleavinger.

• This mostly has to do with the way the hitter's swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the San Francisco Giants' bullpen grades out as the best among all MLB teams.

• Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game's runs.

Quick Takes Tampa Bay Rays:

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

• This player's skill set matches up particularly well with the park he's in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Giants vs Rays Prediction: Giants 4.66 - Rays 3.86

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