San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Pick – 7/20/2025

The San Diego Padres conclude their three-game series against the Washington Nationals on Sunday at Nationals Park. These teams have split the first two games of their series over the weekend and will both be looking to claim the series win in Sunday’s rubber match. To find out who I think will get the job done on Sunday, continue reading to get my Padres vs Nationals prediction.

Our Padres vs Nationals Pick

  • Pick: Padres moneyline
  • Confidence: ★★★★☆
  • Bonus Bets For the Game: Click the Claim Bonus button below to claim our Legendz Sportsbook promo code and get your 500 GC, 3 SC, and 50% first purchase bonus!

500 Gold Coins, 3 FREE SC, & 50% 1st Purchase Bonus
✓ Sportsbook, Casino, Bingo
✓ Prize Drops
✓ Live dealer
Claim Bonus
Promo Code: Click To Claim
500 Gold Coins, 3 FREE SC, & 50% 1st Purchase Bonus
✓ Sportsbook, Casino, Bingo
✓ Prize Drops
✓ Live dealer
Claim Bonus
Promo Code: Click To Claim

Game Snapshot

  • Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals
  • Date & Time: Sunday, July 20, 2025, 1:35 PM ET
  • Starting Pitchers: Nick Pivetta vs MacKenzie Gore
  • Stadium: Nationals Park, Washington, D.C.
  • Broadcast: MASN, SDPA

Key Storylines

  • Pitching form: San Diego’s Nick Pivetta has been one of MLB’s most reliable starters in 2025. He’s 9-2 with a 2.88 ERA. His 1.02 WHIP suggests that he is capable of avoiding jams for the most part. MacKenzie Gore has a respectable 3.02 ERA, but he carries a 4-8 record. That is largely a product of inconsistent run support from the Nationals.
  • Bullpen usage: San Diego’s bullpen ranks second in baseball with a 3.22 ERA. The Nationals have the worst bullpen ERA in the league at 5.97. That gives the Padres a huge advantage if this game is close in the late innings.
  • Recent team streaks: The Padres have lost two of their last three games entering this rubber match with the Nats. The Nationals snapped a five-game losing streak with a win over the Padres on Saturday.

Best Player Props

PlayerProp
Manny MachadoOver 0.5 Home Runs
Nick PivettaOver 5.5 Strikeouts
Fernando Tatis Jr.Over 1.5 Total Bases
  • The Padres lead the season series between these teams by a 3-2 margin despite Saturday’s loss.
  • The Nationals are 14-28 in day games this season. San Diego is 22-15 in day games.
  • In this series, the Padres and Nationals have gone 1-1 on over/unders.

Padres vs Nationals Model Projection

Score Projection: San Diego 4 – Washington 2

Win Probability: Padres 62%, Nationals 38%

Final Thoughts

The quality of both starting pitchers suggests that we could be in for a pitching duel in this matchup. The edge goes to the Padres in my eyes. Pivetta has been incredible this season and that should be enough against a Nationals team that has failed to provide Gore with consistent run support. I recommend betting the Padres to win this game and this series on Sunday.


Affiliate Disclosure ATS.io features affiliate links to licensed online casinos, sportsbooks, and gambling platforms. That means if you click on them and end up signing up or making a deposit, we might earn a commission at no extra cost to you. We only work with licensed and reputable online casinos, social casinos and sportsbooks. Our content whether it’s reviews, guides, or betting tips is written with the goal of being honest, helpful, and based on real experience. While we do earn through affiliate partnerships, it doesn’t affect our recommendations. If a site isn’t safe or doesn’t meet our standards, we won’t promote it. Simple as that. We also take responsible gambling seriously. We encourage all our readers to gamble safely, set limits, and know when to take a break. Have questions? Feel free to reach out. We’re always happy to chat.

̈́

Related Articles

Leave a Comment

Home MLB Picks San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals Pick – 7/20/2025