San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres

Aug 29, 2024

St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals
  • Overview
  • Consensus
  • Stats
  • Odds
  • Trends
  • Props

San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction, Preview, & Odds – 8/29/2024

  • Date: August 29, 2024
  • Venue: Busch Stadium
  • Starting Pitchers:
    • Michael King - Padres
    • Sonny Gray - Cardinals

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Padres -110, Cardinals -110
Runline: Padres -1.5 155, Cardinals 1.5 -175
Over/Under Total: 7.5 -110

San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Win Probabilities

Implied Win %: Projected Win %:
San Diego Padres - 50% San Diego Padres - 49.25%
St. Louis Cardinals - 50% St. Louis Cardinals - 50.75%

Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It's a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.

Projected Win %, also known as projected win probability, is an estimate by ATS.io to determine the likelihood that a team will win a game or event. This projection is often based on various factors such as team performance, statistics, and historical data.

San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

As the St. Louis Cardinals prepare to host the San Diego Padres at Busch Stadium on August 29, 2024, both teams are looking to gain momentum in this pivotal series matchup. The Padres, currently sitting at 76-59, are enjoying a strong season, while the Cardinals, at 66-67, are having an average year. In their last outing, the Cardinals came away with a win over the Padres and will look for a repeat performance in this contest.

On the mound, the Cardinals are set to start Sonny Gray, who has been a solid contributor this season with an 11-9 record and a 4.07 ERA. Despite a slightly above-average ERA, his 2.81 xFIP suggests he has been a bit unlucky and could perform better. Gray's high strikeout rate of 30.4% may be challenged by the Padres, who boast the best contact rate in the league. This matchup may favor the Padres, known for their powerful offense, ranked 8th overall in MLB, which includes the 1st best batting average.

Opposing Gray is Michael King, who holds an impressive 11-7 record and a 3.14 ERA. King's strong performance makes him a tough opponent, and he has been consistently effective, projected to allow only 2.3 earned runs today. Both pitchers have similar projections for innings pitched, but the Cardinals' offense ranks a disappointing 22nd in home runs, which could hinder their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

According to the leading MLB projection system, the Cardinals are expected to score around 3.99 runs, while the Padres are projected to score 4.22 runs, indicating a close contest. With the current odds set at a moneyline of -110 for both teams, this game promises to be competitive, providing an intriguing betting opportunity.

San Diego Padres vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Final Score: San Diego Padres 4.22 vs St. Louis Cardinals 4.03

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Consensus

Moneyline Pick Consensus

-106
66% SD
-113
34% STL

Total Pick Consensus

7.5/-105
10% UN
7.5/-115
90% OV

Spread Pick Consensus

-1.5/+154
73% SD
+1.5/-185
27% STL

Stats

  • Team Stats
  • Team Records
  • Pitchers
  • Recent Starts
SD
Team Stats
STL
3.83
ERA
4.59
.237
Batting Avg Against
.268
1.28
WHIP
1.43
.289
BABIP
.322
9.0%
BB%
8.3%
23.5%
K%
20.4%
75.4%
LOB%
69.8%
.240
Batting Avg
.259
.413
SLG
.436
.739
OPS
.770
.327
OBP
.333
SD
Team Records
STL
42-36
Home
42-35
45-30
Road
35-40
62-47
vRHP
55-56
25-19
vLHP
22-19
47-41
vs>.500
42-47
40-25
vs<.500
35-28
6-4
Last10
5-5
12-8
Last20
12-8
18-12
Last30
17-13
M. King
S. Gray
N/A
Innings
N/A
N/A
GS
N/A
N/A
W-L
N/A
N/A
ERA
N/A
N/A
K/9
N/A
N/A
BB/9
N/A
N/A
HR/9
N/A
N/A
LOB%
N/A
N/A
HR/FB%
N/A
N/A
FIP
N/A
N/A
xFIP
N/A

M. King

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
6/28 LAA
Bundy N/A
L3-5 N/A
4.1
6
3
2
4
2
50-77
6/23 KC
Duffy N/A
W6-5 N/A
4.2
3
2
2
5
3
44-72
6/17 TOR
Zeuch N/A
W8-4 N/A
4.1
5
3
3
1
2
41-60
6/10 MIN
Happ N/A
L5-7 N/A
3.2
4
2
2
3
3
40-69
6/4 BOS
Eovaldi N/A
L2-5 N/A
5.1
6
4
4
5
0
49-66

S. Gray

Date
Opp
W/L
IP
H
R
ER
SO
BB
ST-PC
4/16 BOS
Houck N/A
L0-4 N/A
1.2
1
2
2
1
1
16-31
4/9 SEA
Gilbert N/A
L3-4 N/A
4.2
4
2
2
4
2
52-76
9/29 CHW
Rodon N/A
L1-6 N/A
4.2
5
5
5
6
2
51-86
9/24 WSH
Espino N/A
W8-7 N/A
4
5
4
4
3
4
52-88
9/18 LAD
Scherzer N/A
L1-5 N/A
6
4
4
3
5
2
49-75

Odds

  • MoneyLine
  • RunLine
  • Over/Under
Open
Current
Book
SD STL
SD STL
Consensus
-105
-110
-106
-113
-115
-105
-105
-115
-102
-116
-102
-116
-112
-105
-105
-112
-115
-105
-105
-115
-115
-105
-110
-110
Open
Current
Book
SD STL
SD STL
Consensus
-1.5 (+151)
+1.5 (-182)
-1.5 (+156)
+1.5 (-192)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+154)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-188)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-194)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-190)
-1.5 (+160)
+1.5 (-200)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-178)
-1.5 (+152)
+1.5 (-180)
-1.5 (+150)
+1.5 (-185)
-1.5 (+155)
+1.5 (-190)
Open
Current
Book
Over Under
Over Under
Consensus
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-107)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
7.5 (-112)
7.5 (-108)
7.5 (-122)
7.5 (+100)
7.5 (-122)
7.5 (+100)
8.0 (-106)
8.0 (-115)
7.5 (-117)
7.5 (-104)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
7.5 (-110)
7.5 (-110)
8.0 (-105)
8.0 (-115)
7.5 (-115)
7.5 (-105)