San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Pick – 8/30/2025
The San Diego Padres will visit the Minnesota Twins on Saturday night. Minnesota got the win in the first game of this three-game series and will look to upset the Padres again in this contest. That will be a tall task with the Padres holding a starting pitching advantage going into this matchup. Before first pitch from Target Field, continue reading to get my Padres vs Twins prediction for Saturday’s game.
Our Padres vs Twins Pick
- Pick: San Diego Padres -1.5
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Nick Pivetta vs Taj Bradley
- Stadium: Target Field, Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Broadcast: MLB.TV
Key Storylines
Pitching matchup
Nick Pivetta has been the Padres’ most reliable starter this year. He has a 13-4 record and a 2.82 ERA. He works with a four-seam fastball plus a slider and changeup mix that generates whiffs and weak contact. Taj Bradley is an arm with high upside but he enters this game with a 4.95 ERA and a 6-7 record. He has been hittable at times throughout the season and Pivetta has the clear upper hand in this pitching matchup.
Key Players
- Byron Buxton knocked in multiple runs for the Twins last night and will be a key to Minnesota’s offense again in this game.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. had two hits and two RBI on Friday and will be relied upon again in this game by San Diego.
Recent team streaks
- The Padres have lost two games in a row and they have lost four of their last five outings.
- The Twins have won two of their last three games going into tonight’s contest.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Nick Pivetta | Over 5.5 Strikeouts |
| Byron Buxton | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Twins lead their season series against the Twins by a 1-0 margin.
- The first game of this series went over the total with 11 total runs scored.
- The Twins are 34-31 at home on the season with yesterday’s win.
- San Diego is 32-38 on the road for the year.
Padres vs Twins Model Projection
Score Projection: San Diego Padres 6 – Minnesota Twins 4
Win Probability: San Diego Padres 59%, Minnesota Twins 41%
Final Thoughts
The Padres have a clear starting pitching advantage going into this game with Nick Pivetta on the mound. The Twins looked very good offensively on Friday but they should regress against a tougher opponent on the mound here. I’ll go with the Padres to win this game on the road to even this series at a game apiece heading into Sunday’s rubber match.
