San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – 8/17/2025
The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers are set to face off in the finale of their weekend series at Dodger Stadium on Sunday. The Dodgers will look to extend their one-game lead in the NL West after a dominant 6–0 victory over the Padres on Saturday. Before these teams take part in a huge game for their division title hopes, continue reading to get my Padres vs Dodgers prediction.
Our Padres vs Dodgers Pick
- Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers to win
- Confidence: 4/5
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date & Time: Sunday, August 17, 2025, 4:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Yu Darvish (Padres) vs. Tyler Glasnow (Dodgers)
- Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: MLB Network
Key Storylines
Pitching Matchup
Yu Darvish is 2–3 with a 5.61 ERA in 2025. He will take the mound for the Padres in this contest. Darvish has been inconsistent this season as he looks to turn back the clock against the defending champions. He’ll face Tyler Glasnow of the Dodgers in this game. Glasnow is 1–1 and has a 3.08 ERA. He has been a bright spot for the Dodgers’ pitching staff. Glasnow has a strong strikeout rate of over a strikeout per inning and has shown the ability to dominate opposing lineups.
Key Players
- Shohei Ohtani (LAD): The two-way star continues to impress both on the mound and at the plate.
- Mookie Betts (LAD): Betts is a consistent offensive threat and defensive standout.
- Manny Machado (SD): Machado leads the Padres in batting average, home runs, and RBI from the heart of the order.
Recent Team Streaks
- The Dodgers have won two straight after a four-game skid.
- The Padres have dropped two games in a row and have relinquished first place in the NL West.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | Over 1.5 Hits |
| Shohei Ohtani | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Dodgers are 7-2 against the Padres in their head-to-head meetings this season.
- The home team has won five of the last six games between these teams.
- Los Angeles has outscored the Padres 9-2 so far this weekend.
- The under is 2-0 in the current series between these teams.
Padres vs Dodgers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Padres 3 – Dodgers 5
- Win Probability: Padres 28.1%, Dodgers 71.9%
Final Thoughts
The Dodgers have all of the momentum in this series so far. They also have the better starting pitcher in this game with Glasnow on the hill. I expect the Dodgers to win this game, complete a three-game sweep of the Padres, and extend their advantage in the NL West standings to two games over San Diego.
