San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Pick – 8/16/2025
The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers will meet in a huge NL West matchup on Saturday night. The Dodgers won the opening game of this series at home to move these teams into a tie in the NL West standings. The winner of tonight’s game will take first place in the division going into Sunday’s game. Before the action begins from Dodger Stadium, continue reading to get my thoughts on this game and my Padres vs Dodgers prediction.
Our Padres vs Dodgers Pick
- Pick: Dodgers ML
- Confidence: ★★★★☆
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Game Snapshot
- Matchup: San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers
- Date & Time: Saturday, August 16, 2025, 9:10 PM ET
- Starting Pitchers: Dylan Cease (Padres) vs Blake Snell (Dodgers)
- Stadium: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
- Broadcast: SportsNet LA, SDPA
Key Storylines
- Pitching matchup: Dylan Cease and Blake Snell are set to face off in the starting pitching matchup here. Snell has had more success on the mound than Cease this year. But Snell has also pitched in a smaller sample of games and it will be interesting to see which NL West veteran will have the most success in this game.
- Key Players: There is star power all over the field in this game. Shohei Ohtani and Manny Machado headline a couple of lineups with plenty of firepower. Teoscar Hernandez had a home run for the Dodgers that helped them win on Friday and he will be a key factor in this game as well.
- Recent team streaks: The Padres had a five-game winning streak snapped last night by the Dodgers. The Dodgers ended their four-game losing streak with a victory over the Padres last night.
Best Player Props
| Player | Prop |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | Over 1.5 Total Bases |
| Manny Machado | Over 0.5 Home Runs |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. | Under 1.5 Total Bases |
Betting Trends & H2H
- The Dodgers lead the season series between these teams by a 6-2 margin.
- The Dodgers have won four of the last five games they’ve played against the Padres.
- San Diego is 31-33 on the road this season.
- The Dodgers are 39-24 at home in 2025.
Padres vs Dodgers Model Projection
- Score Projection: Dodgers 5 – Padres 4
- Win Probability: Dodgers 55%, Padres 45%
Final Thoughts
The Padres were playing better baseball than the Dodgers until they faced off again last night. Consistency on the mound will be the key to this game and I think that Snell will do enough to help the Dodgers take the lead and keep it in this matchup. I’ll take the Dodgers to win at home for the second night in a row and for Los Angeles to retake the lead in the NL West.
