Zebby Matthews Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Nestor Ceja grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Christian Vazquez, the Twins's expected catcher today, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Target Field profiles as the #8 park in the league for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-least humidity of all games on the slate at 38%.

Zebby Matthews will have the handedness advantage over 6 opposing batters today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zebby Matthews is projected to throw 79 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate today.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output.

Considering the 2.24 deviation between Zebby Matthews's 10.62 K/9 and his 8.38 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to see negative regression the rest of the season.

Zebby Matthews is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -166

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Kansas City Royals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Target Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the game for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With a 5.54 FIP since the start of last season (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control), Zebby Matthews checks in at the 14th percentile.

Rating 5th-steepest in baseball this year, Kansas City Royals bats as a group have notched a 15.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to study the ability to lift the ball for power).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Zebby Matthews's overall pitching talent is in the 77th percentile among all starters in baseball right now.

Nestor Ceja grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone in today's game.

Christian Vazquez, the Twins's expected catcher today, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in the majors.

In the majors, the 5th-highest fence height (on average) are at Target Field.

Zebby Matthews is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in today's game.