Zach Eflin MLB projections and prop bets for Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles on Oct 2, 2024
Zach Eflin Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 3.5 over: 110
- Strikeouts 3.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Zach Eflin will hold that advantage in today's game.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Eflin to throw 75 pitches in this game (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.5% underlying K%.
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ben May) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate today.
In his previous GS, Zach Eflin struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 1 Ks.
Projection For Zach Eflin Strikeouts Prop Bet
Zach Eflin is projected to have 3.8 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
Zach Eflin Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 1.5 over: -175
- Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ben May) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for pitching of all games on the slate today.
Over his last 3 outings, Zach Eflin has experienced a big decrease in his fastball spin rate: from 2094 rpm over the entire season to 2038 rpm of late.
Zach Eflin's curveball percentage has fallen by 8.5% from last season to this one (26.5% to 18%) .
Zach Eflin's 91.1-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 15th percentile among all starters.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zach Eflin in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent level.
The Kansas City Royals projected lineup grades out as the 3rd-worst of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the worst ballpark in baseball for walks.
The deepest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 9th-highest fences in MLB.
Projection For Zach Eflin Earned Runs Prop Bet
Zach Eflin is projected to have 2.1 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
