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  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Adam Beck profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.

With 7 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Zach Eflin will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Out of all starters, Zach Eflin's fastball velocity of 91 mph grades out in the 19th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Zach Eflin is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #5 HR venue among all parks — in this game.

Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Zach Eflin (44.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in the opposing club's projected lineup.

Zach Eflin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Zach Eflin was on point in his last start and gave up 2 ER.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -152

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Zach Eflin (44.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in the opposing club's projected lineup.

Zach Eflin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Zach Eflin has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls 7.2% more often this season (69.9%) than he did last season (62.7%).

Given the 0.73 difference between Zach Eflin's 6.20 K/9 and his 6.92 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and ought to see better results in the future.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zach Eflin in the 24th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

Adam Beck profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.

With 7 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Zach Eflin will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

In his previous outing, Zach Eflin didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -138

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 104

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The #1 park in baseball for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Zach Eflin is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #5 HR venue among all parks — in this game.

Given that groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Zach Eflin (44.9% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 4 GB hitters in the opposing club's projected lineup.

Zach Eflin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Zach Eflin was on point in his last start and gave up 2 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Adam Beck profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather on the slate today at 90°.

With 7 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Zach Eflin will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Out of all starters, Zach Eflin's fastball velocity of 91 mph grades out in the 19th percentile this year.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 17.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Zach Eflin Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 6.5 (-105)
un 6.5 (-132)
ov 6.5 (-105)
un 6.5 (-135)
-
ov 6.5 (-105)
un 6.5 (-135)
ov 6.5 (-103)
un 6.5 (-133)
ov 6.5 (-105)
un 6.5 (-125)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-127)
un 2.5 (-108)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-110)
-
ov 2.5 (-130)
un 2.5 (-110)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-109)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-105)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-166)
un 3.5 (125)
ov 3.5 (-165)
un 3.5 (125)
ov 3.5 (-164)
un 3.5 (128)
ov 3.5 (-155)
un 3.5 (120)
ov 3.5 (-184)
un 3.5 (133)
ov 3.5 (-150)
un 3.5 (115)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (143)
un 1.5 (-202)
ov 1.5 (140)
un 1.5 (-200)
-
-
ov 1.5 (146)
un 1.5 (-204)
-

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