• Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -175

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Chicago White Sox offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all parks.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the best hitting conditions on the slate.

Among all starters, Zach Eflin's fastball velocity of 91.7 mph ranks in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

Zach Eflin has notched a 6.26 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control) this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The 4th-worst projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Projected catcher Adley Rutschman projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for walks.

Zach Eflin is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.5% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #4 HR venue among all stadiums — in this game.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -196

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 148

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The 4th-worst projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Chicago White Sox.

Projected catcher Adley Rutschman projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 2nd-worst park in the majors for walks.

Zach Eflin is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.5% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #4 HR venue among all stadiums — in this game.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team in action today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Chicago White Sox offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field dimensions among all parks.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the best hitting conditions on the slate.

Among all starters, Zach Eflin's fastball velocity of 91.7 mph ranks in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

Zach Eflin has notched a 6.26 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher's control) this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 17.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Projected catcher Adley Rutschman projects as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that groundball hitters struggle against groundball pitchers, Zach Eflin (44.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team's projected batting order.

Zach Eflin will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats in all categories.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Zach Eflin has relied on his non-fastballs 5.9% more often this season (68.6%) than he did last season (62.7%).

Considering the 1.93 difference between Zach Eflin's 4.86 K/9 and his 6.79 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to perform better in the future.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zach Eflin in the 19th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the best hitting conditions on the slate.

Zach Eflin wasn't on when it came to striking hitters out in his last GS and compiled 2 Ks.

Among all starters, Zach Eflin's fastball velocity of 91.7 mph ranks in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

Zach Eflin has posted a 17.9% Strikeout% since the start of last season, placing in the 15th percentile.

Zach Eflin is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Zach Eflin Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-104)
un 5.5 (-135)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-145)
-
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-140)
ov 5.5 (100)
un 5.5 (-137)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (128)
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (130)
-
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (125)
ov 1.5 (-174)
un 1.5 (126)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (129)
un 4.5 (-168)
ov 4.5 (125)
un 4.5 (-165)
ov 4.5 (130)
un 4.5 (-168)
ov 4.5 (125)
un 4.5 (-165)
ov 4.5 (126)
un 4.5 (-174)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (160)
un 1.5 (-230)
ov 1.5 (160)
un 1.5 (-230)
-
-
ov 1.5 (159)
un 1.5 (-224)

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