Will Warren Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -155

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #4 field in baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Will Warren meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Out of every team playing today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

Will Warren's high utilization rate of his fastball (56.4% since the start of last season) is likely dampening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the game since the start of last season.

Projected catcher Austin Wells profiles as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, Yankee Stadium's centerfield fences are the 6th-deepest.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Will Warren will hold that advantage today.

Will Warren is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 115

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -150

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Projected catcher Austin Wells profiles as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate today at 50°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Will Warren will hold that advantage today.

Among all starting pitchers, Will Warren's fastball spin rate of 2503 rpm grades out in the 93rd percentile since the start of last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Will Warren to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.1% underlying K%.

With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team's projected offense, Will Warren meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Will Warren's high utilization rate of his fastball (56.4% since the start of last season) is likely dampening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Will Warren has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting an 11.51 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.18 — a 3.33 K/9 deviation.

Will Warren is projected to have 4 Strikeouts in today's game.