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Walker Buehler

Boston Red Sox

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Boston Red Sox

11:10 AM

Apr 21, 2025

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Chicago White Sox

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -165

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Chicago White Sox have been the unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in MLB for batting average.

Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Walker Buehler (43.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Chicago's projected batting order.

The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 15th-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in today's game.

The league's 2nd-tallest fences can be found at Fenway Park.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 8th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Walker Buehler will hold that advantage in today's game.

Walker Buehler is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -115

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in today's game.

The league's 2nd-tallest fences can be found at Fenway Park.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 8th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Walker Buehler will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Walker Buehler has been granted a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording an -7.1 fewer adjusted pitches each start.

The Chicago White Sox have been the unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best ballpark in MLB for batting average.

Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Walker Buehler (43.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Chicago's projected batting order.

Walker Buehler is projected to have 16.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -112

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -112

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the Chicago White Sox with a 24.4% underlying K%.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) behind the plate in today's game.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 8th-most suitable for hitting on the slate today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Walker Buehler will hold that advantage in today's game.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Compared to the average starting pitcher, Walker Buehler has been granted a shorter leash than the typical pitcher since the start of last season, recording an -7.1 fewer adjusted pitches each start.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-worst park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Walker Buehler (43.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Chicago's projected batting order.

Ranking in the 6th percentile, Walker Buehler notched a 7.9% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

Walker Buehler has notched an 18.7% Strikeout% since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Walker Buehler is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Walker Buehler Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-111)
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-115)
-
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-109)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-166)
un 1.5 (119)
ov 1.5 (-165)
un 1.5 (120)
-
ov 1.5 (-165)
un 1.5 (115)
ov 1.5 (-166)
un 1.5 (120)
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-123)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-115)
un 16.5 (-115)
ov 16.5 (-128)
un 16.5 (-102)
ov 16.5 (-118)
un 16.5 (-118)
ov 16.5 (-137)
un 16.5 (100)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (-119)
un 4.5 (-111)
ov 4.5 (-115)
un 4.5 (-115)
ov 4.5 (-112)
un 4.5 (-112)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-109)
ov 4.5 (-115)
un 4.5 (-115)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-146)
un 1.5 (105)
ov 1.5 (-155)
un 1.5 (110)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-137)
un 1.5 (100)
-

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