• Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -118

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -108

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tylor Megill in the 91st percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the 4th-best park in baseball for strikeouts.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 4th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today.

With 6 batters who share his handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Tylor Megill ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's outing.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Lance Barksdale profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

Tylor Megill's higher usage rate of his fastball this season (65.9 compared to 56.3% last season) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Tylor Megill has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting an 11.25 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.90 — a 1.35 K/9 disparity.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -185

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Lance Barksdale profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

In the majors, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.

Tylor Megill's higher usage rate of his fastball this season (65.9 compared to 56.3% last season) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

With a 1.53 difference between Tylor Megill's 2.50 ERA and his 4.03 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and ought to see negative regression going forward.

Chicago Cubs batters as a unit place 7th- in baseball for power this year when using their 9.8% Barrel%.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tylor Megill in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The underlying talent of the Chicago Cubs projected batting order today (.325 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .337 wOBA this year.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 4th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -105

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tylor Megill in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The underlying talent of the Chicago Cubs projected batting order today (.325 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .337 wOBA this year.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 4th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future

The #2 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Lance Barksdale profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping today.

In the majors, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.

Tylor Megill's higher usage rate of his fastball this season (65.9 compared to 56.3% last season) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

With a 1.53 difference between Tylor Megill's 2.50 ERA and his 4.03 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and ought to see negative regression going forward.

Chicago Cubs batters as a unit place 7th- in baseball for power this year when using their 9.8% Barrel%.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 15.5 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Tylor Megill Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-119)
un 4.5 (-117)
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-110)
-
ov 4.5 (-125)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-117)
un 4.5 (-117)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-183)
un 1.5 (132)
ov 1.5 (-180)
un 1.5 (130)
-
ov 1.5 (-185)
un 1.5 (130)
ov 2.5 (112)
un 2.5 (-154)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (102)
un 17.5 (-141)
ov 17.5 (-105)
un 17.5 (-130)
ov 15.5 (-122)
un 15.5 (-108)
ov 17.5 (105)
un 17.5 (-150)
ov 15.5 (-129)
un 15.5 (-106)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-121)
un 5.5 (-109)
ov 5.5 (-120)
un 5.5 (-110)
ov 5.5 (-118)
un 5.5 (-108)
ov 5.5 (-118)
un 5.5 (-110)
ov 5.5 (-121)
un 5.5 (-113)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-205)
un 1.5 (145)
ov 1.5 (-205)
un 1.5 (145)
-
-
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-166)

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