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Tylor Megill

New York Mets

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New York Mets

07:10 PM

Apr 21, 2025

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Philadelphia Phillies

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup projects as the 5th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

Shane Livensparger projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Out of every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in Major League Baseball for batting average.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 8th-highest level on the schedule today at 53°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Tylor Megill will hold that advantage today.

Tylor Megill was in good form in his previous GS and gave up 1 ER.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -141

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tylor Megill in the 77th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

Citi Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 8th-highest level on the schedule today at 53°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Tylor Megill will hold that advantage today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The Philadelphia Phillies (21.3 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone team of batters of all teams today.

Shane Livensparger projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Tylor Megill's higher usage rate of his fastball this season (66.6 compared to 56.3% last year) is not ideal considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

With a 1.13 disparity between Tylor Megill's 10.26 K/9 and his 9.13 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results going forward.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 4.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: -110

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the worst park in Major League Baseball for batting average.

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 8th-highest level on the schedule today at 53°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Tylor Megill will hold that advantage today.

Tylor Megill was in good form in his previous GS and gave up 1 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Tallying 15.1 outs per game per started since the start of last season on average, Tylor Megill places him the 24th percentile.

The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup projects as the 5th-strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

Shane Livensparger projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.

The shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors are found in Citi Field.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Tylor Megill is projected to have 15.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Tylor Megill Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-106)
un 4.5 (-129)
ov 4.5 (-110)
un 4.5 (-125)
-
ov 4.5 (-110)
un 4.5 (-125)
ov 4.5 (-106)
un 4.5 (-129)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (121)
un 2.5 (-168)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-165)
-
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-165)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-166)
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (-102)
un 15.5 (-134)
ov 15.5 (-105)
un 15.5 (-130)
ov 15.5 (108)
un 15.5 (-140)
ov 15.5 (-110)
un 15.5 (-130)
ov 15.5 (-109)
un 15.5 (-125)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (121)
un 5.5 (-161)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-160)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-154)
ov 5.5 (110)
un 5.5 (-145)
ov 5.5 (126)
un 5.5 (-174)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (111)
un 2.5 (-155)
ov 2.5 (110)
un 2.5 (-155)
-
-
ov 2.5 (112)
un 2.5 (-154)
-

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