Trevor Story projections, stats and prop bet odds for Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays on Sep 18, 2024

Trevor Story Player Prop Bet: Home Runs

Home Runs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Home Runs 0.5 over: 650
  • Home Runs 0.5 under: -1100

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 4th-shallowest.

Trevor Story's launch angle this year (19ยฐ) is a significant increase over his 15.2ยฐ figure last year.

Over the last 14 days, Trevor Story has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 25ยฐ compared to his seasonal mark of 21.7ยฐ.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.7) may lead us to conclude that Trevor Story has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 10.3 actual HR/600.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Trevor Story has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's game.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Projection For Today's Trevor Story Home Runs Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to have 0.1 Home Runs in todays game.


Trevor Story Player Prop Bet: Hits

Hits Prop Bet Odds:

  • Hits 0.5 over: -145
  • Hits 0.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop Bet

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 4th-shallowest.

Trevor Story's launch angle this year (19ยฐ) is a significant increase over his 15.2ยฐ figure last year.

Over the past 7 days, Trevor Story's 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4ยฐ and 26ยฐ) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.

Trevor Story has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .259 mark is considerably lower than his .283 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Trevor Story has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 5th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's game.

Projection For Today's Trevor Story Hits Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to have 0.7 Hits in todays game.


Trevor Story Player Prop Bet: Hits Runs and RBIs

Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet Odds:

  • Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: 130
  • Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 4th-shallowest.

Trevor Story's launch angle this year (19ยฐ) is a significant increase over his 15.2ยฐ figure last year.

Over the past 7 days, Trevor Story's 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4ยฐ and 26ยฐ) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.7) may lead us to conclude that Trevor Story has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 10.3 actual HR/600.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Trevor Story has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The #4 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's game.

Projection For Today's Trevor Story Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to have 1.4 Hits Runs and RBIs in todays game.


Trevor Story Player Prop Bet: RBIs

RBIs Prop Bet Odds:

  • RBIs 0.5 over: 240
  • RBIs 0.5 under: -330

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 4th-shallowest.

Trevor Story's launch angle this year (19ยฐ) is a significant increase over his 15.2ยฐ figure last year.

Over the past 7 days, Trevor Story's 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4ยฐ and 26ยฐ) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.7) may lead us to conclude that Trevor Story has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 10.3 actual HR/600.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Trevor Story has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The #4 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's game.

Projection For Today's Trevor Story RBIs Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to have 0.3 RBIs in todays game.


Trevor Story Player Prop Bet: Total Bases

Total Bases Prop Bet Odds:

  • Total Bases 0.5 over: -145
  • Total Bases 0.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop Bet

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Among all major league parks, Tropicana Field's LF fences are the 4th-shallowest.

Trevor Story's launch angle this year (19ยฐ) is a significant increase over his 15.2ยฐ figure last year.

Over the past 7 days, Trevor Story's 69.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4ยฐ and 26ยฐ) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.6%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.7) may lead us to conclude that Trevor Story has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 10.3 actual HR/600.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Trevor Story has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

The #4 venue in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today.

Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Story in today's game.

Projection For Today's Trevor Story Total Bases Prop Bet

Trevor Story is projected to have 0.7 Total Bases in todays game.