Stephen Kolek Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -194

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 139

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The 4th-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Miami Marlins.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Miami Marlins offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The #3 venue in the game for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a big edge over groundball batters, Stephen Kolek and his 49.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's matchup facing 3 opposing GB batters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Stephen Kolek will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Petco Park has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

Stephen Kolek's high usage percentage of his fastball (56.5% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Miami Marlins has been 117.4 mph this year, making them the #6 squad in the majors by this metric.

Stephen Kolek is projected to have 17.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -180

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Petco Park has the 6th-lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

Stephen Kolek's high usage percentage of his fastball (56.5% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Miami Marlins has been 117.4 mph this year, making them the #6 squad in the majors by this metric.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The 4th-weakest projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Miami Marlins.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Miami Marlins offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The #3 venue in the game for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a big edge over groundball batters, Stephen Kolek and his 49.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's matchup facing 3 opposing GB batters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Stephen Kolek will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Stephen Kolek is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -141

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Miami Marlins have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Matt Mervis, Connor Norby).

The #3 stadium in the league for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a big edge over groundball batters, Stephen Kolek and his 49.1% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's matchup facing 3 opposing GB batters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Stephen Kolek will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Stephen Kolek in the 19th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Stephen Kolek's high usage percentage of his fastball (56.5% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Stephen Kolek has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 7.50 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.96 — a 0.54 K/9 deviation.

Stephen Kolek is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.