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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -175

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games

Ben May profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.

Given that flyball hitters have a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Sonny Gray and his 32% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in today's outing matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Sonny Gray's overall pitching talent grades out in the 90th percentile out of all SPs in the game right now.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 ballpark in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium's RF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers.

Sonny Gray is an extreme flyball pitcher (32% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #27 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.

Sonny Gray is projected to have 2.2 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -152

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Sonny Gray in the 93rd percentile among all starters in baseball.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Sonny Gray will hold that advantage today.

Sonny Gray's four-seam fastball utilization has decreased by 5.5% from last season to this one (23.8% to 18.3%) .

Sonny Gray's 2528-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 95th percentile among all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Ben May profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

The #10 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Given that flyball hitters have a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Sonny Gray and his 32% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in today's outing matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Sonny Gray's fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this season (91.1 mph) below where it was last season (92.3 mph).

Sonny Gray is projected to have 6.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -155

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s appraisal, Sonny Gray's overall pitching talent grades out in the 90th percentile out of all SPs in the game right now.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 ballpark in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, Busch Stadium's RF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hurlers.

Sonny Gray is an extreme flyball pitcher (32% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #27 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games

Ben May profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today's game.

Busch Stadium has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) among all parks.

Given that flyball hitters have a sizeable edge over groundball pitchers, Sonny Gray and his 32% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a troublesome position in today's outing matching up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.

Sonny Gray is projected to have 17.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Sonny Gray Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-132)
un 4.5 (-106)
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (-105)
-
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (-105)
ov 4.5 (-133)
un 4.5 (-103)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-180)
un 1.5 (130)
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (130)
-
ov 1.5 (-185)
un 1.5 (125)
ov 1.5 (-174)
un 1.5 (126)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-144)
un 17.5 (106)
ov 17.5 (-155)
un 17.5 (115)
ov 17.5 (-132)
un 17.5 (102)
ov 17.5 (-155)
un 17.5 (110)
ov 17.5 (-174)
un 17.5 (126)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (113)
un 6.5 (-149)
ov 6.5 (100)
un 6.5 (-130)
ov 6.5 (120)
un 6.5 (-154)
ov 6.5 (100)
un 6.5 (-130)
ov 6.5 (104)
un 6.5 (-142)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-132)
un 1.5 (-107)
ov 1.5 (-130)
un 1.5 (-110)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-133)
un 1.5 (-103)

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