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  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 106

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -136

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ron Kulpa) calling pitches today.

Because flyball pitchers hold a big edge over flyball hitters, Shane Smith and his 43% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today's game matching up with 2 opposing FB hitters.

Shane Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

Placing in the 77th percentile, Shane Smith notched a 12% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane Smith is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 21% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 93°.

With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Shane Smith will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Shane Smith is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 120

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -152

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected batting order today (.320 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .336 wOBA this year.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ron Kulpa) calling pitches today.

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #3 HR venue in the league — today.

Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Shane Smith is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

The #3 stadium in the league for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-shallowest LF fences in the league.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 93°.

With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Shane Smith will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Shane Smith is projected to have 15.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #3 stadium in the league for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 2nd-shallowest LF fences in the league.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 93°.

With 6 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected offense, Shane Smith will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Shane Smith has been lucky this year, putting up a 2.85 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.41 — a 1.56 discrepancy.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected batting order today (.320 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be quite a bit weaker than their .336 wOBA this year.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ron Kulpa) calling pitches today.

Shane Smith is an extreme groundball pitcher (43% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Guaranteed Rate Field — the #3 HR venue in the league — today.

Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.

Shane Smith is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Shane Smith Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (127)
un 5.5 (-174)
ov 5.5 (125)
un 5.5 (-175)
-
ov 5.5 (125)
un 5.5 (-175)
ov 5.5 (126)
un 5.5 (-174)
ov 5.5 (130)
un 5.5 (-170)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-114)
un 2.5 (-119)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
-
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-120)
ov 2.5 (-113)
un 2.5 (-121)
ov 2.5 (-115)
un 2.5 (-115)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 15.5 (114)
un 15.5 (-155)
ov 15.5 (115)
un 15.5 (-155)
ov 15.5 (110)
un 15.5 (-144)
ov 15.5 (110)
un 15.5 (-155)
ov 15.5 (120)
un 15.5 (-166)
ov 15.5 (115)
un 15.5 (-150)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (115)
un 4.5 (-153)
ov 4.5 (125)
un 4.5 (-160)
ov 4.5 (112)
un 4.5 (-142)
ov 4.5 (120)
un 4.5 (-160)
ov 4.5 (112)
un 4.5 (-154)
ov 4.5 (120)
un 4.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-177)
un 1.5 (125)
ov 1.5 (-180)
un 1.5 (125)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-174)
un 1.5 (126)
-

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