Seth Lugo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -156

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Tallying 99.5 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Seth Lugo ranks in the 97th percentile.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games

In Major League Baseball, Comerica Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-deepest.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games today.

The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Quinn Wolcott grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for walks.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 18.3 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 123

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -165

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Tallying 99.5 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Seth Lugo ranks in the 97th percentile.

The Detroit Tigers have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Spencer Torkelson, Dillon Dingler, Riley Greene, Ryan Kreidler).

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games today.

Seth Lugo's cut-fastball percentage has risen by 5.8% from last year to this one (8.2% to 14%) .

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Quinn Wolcott grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Comerica Park ranks as the #24 field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 5.6 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 100

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Quinn Wolcott grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for walks.

Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 5th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Detroit Tigers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games

In Major League Baseball, Comerica Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-deepest.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games today.

The Kansas City Royals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team today.

Seth Lugo's cut-fastball percentage has risen by 5.8% from last year to this one (8.2% to 14%) .

Seth Lugo is projected to have 2.7 Earned Runs in today's game.