Seth Lugo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 132

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -177

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Seth Lugo has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 6.2 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Vic Carapazza) in charge of the strike zone today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for strikeouts.

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.

The weather report calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The San Diego Padres (19.4 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy group of batters of the day.

Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Seth Lugo's 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 24th percentile out of all SPs.

Checking in at the 9th percentile, Seth Lugo posted a 7.6% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 4.4 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -160

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Seth Lugo has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 6.2 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Vic Carapazza) in charge of the strike zone today.

The #5 field in the league for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The weather report calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Seth Lugo is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Petco Park — the #8 HR venue in MLB — in this game.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest.

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Seth Lugo's 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 24th percentile out of all SPs.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 18.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the San Diego Padres offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's CF fences are the shallowest.

Among all parks, Petco Park has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

Seth Lugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

Seth Lugo's 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 24th percentile out of all SPs.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Vic Carapazza) in charge of the strike zone today.

The #5 field in the league for suppressing walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The weather report calls for the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Seth Lugo is an extreme groundball pitcher (42.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Petco Park — the #8 HR venue in MLB — in this game.

San Diego Padres bats collectively rank 29th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 6.8% Barrel%.

Seth Lugo is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.