Ryne Nelson Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the New York Mets.

This contest is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.8-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ryne Nelson has relied on his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 56% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.

New York's 90.3-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the best in MLB: #3 overall.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The #1 venue in the game for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.

In the league, the 10th-highest fences are at Chase Field.

Ryne Nelson is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the benefit of pitching in the #29 HR venue among all parks in this game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams today.

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -167

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 125

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Ryne Nelson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Out of all SPs, Ryne Nelson's fastball velocity of 95.3 mph grades out in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryne Nelson to throw 79 pitches in this game (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The New York Mets (21.1 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup of all teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the worst field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

This contest is expected to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Ryne Nelson is projected to have 3.7 Strikeouts in today's game.