Ryan Yarbrough Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -155

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature on the slate at 51°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ryan Yarbrough will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Ryan Yarbrough in the 12th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Yarbrough is projected to throw 72 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate today.

Alfonso Marquez grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping today.

The #8 park in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

With 8 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Ryan Yarbrough faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Ryan Yarbrough is projected to have 3 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -140

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Texas Rangers have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season

Alfonso Marquez grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping today.

Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium has the 9th-lowest average fence height.

With 8 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team's projected batting order, Ryan Yarbrough faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Ryan Yarbrough is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #6 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Austin Wells, the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #30 field in the game for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium's CF fences are the 6th-deepest.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this contest calls for the 3rd-lowest temperature on the slate at 51°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.

Ryan Yarbrough is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.