Ryan Yarbrough Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 100

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Boston Red Sox have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Carlos Narvaez, Trevor Story, Roman Anthony).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Ryan Yarbrough must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 70.7% of the time, checking in at the 94th percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Yarbrough is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least on the slate.

The #1 field in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Because of his large platoon split, Ryan Yarbrough will have a disadvantage matching up with 7 bats in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today's outing.

Because flyball hitters hold a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Ryan Yarbrough and his 37.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot today being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

Ryan Yarbrough will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Ryan Yarbrough is projected to have 4.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -175

Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 135

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The Boston Red Sox have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.

The league's 2nd-tallest fences can be found at Fenway Park.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.

In his previous game started, Ryan Yarbrough was in good form and gave up 1 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Ryan Yarbrough is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 9th-least on the slate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for batting average.

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in the majors.

Because of his large platoon split, Ryan Yarbrough will have a disadvantage matching up with 7 bats in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today's outing.

Because flyball hitters hold a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Ryan Yarbrough and his 37.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot today being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

Ryan Yarbrough is projected to have 15.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for batting average.

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in the majors.

Because of his large platoon split, Ryan Yarbrough will have a disadvantage matching up with 7 bats in the projected offense who bat from the opposite side in today's outing.

Because flyball hitters hold a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Ryan Yarbrough and his 37.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot today being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.

The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of every team today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Boston Red Sox have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees's expected catcher in today's game) projects as a good pitch framer.

The league's 2nd-tallest fences can be found at Fenway Park.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching on the slate today.

In his previous game started, Ryan Yarbrough was in good form and gave up 1 ER.

Ryan Yarbrough is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.