Richard Fitts Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In MLB, Fenway Park's left field dimensions are the shallowest.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Richard Fitts has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.35 figure is deflated compared to his 5.00 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Richard Fitts has compiled a .257 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The league's 2nd-tallest fences can be found at Fenway Park.

The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today.

Richard Fitts will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Richard Fitts's 94.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 78th percentile out of all SPs.

Among all starters, Richard Fitts's fastball spin rate of 2444 rpm grades out in the 85th percentile this year.

Richard Fitts is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 108

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -138

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Cincinnati Reds (25.9% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the most strikeout-prone batting order of all teams on the slate.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Richard Fitts will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Richard Fitts's 94.7-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 78th percentile out of all SPs.

Among all starters, Richard Fitts's fastball spin rate of 2444 rpm grades out in the 85th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Richard Fitts to throw 81 pitches today (4th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The #2 stadium in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Checking in at the 17th percentile, Richard Fitts has notched a 15.7% Strikeout% since the start of last season.

Richard Fitts is projected to have 4.1 Strikeouts in today's game.