Reid Detmers MLB projections and prop bets for Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels on Sep 27, 2024
Reid Detmers Player Prop Bet: Earned Runs
Earned Runs Prop Bet Odds:
- Earned Runs 2.5 over: -100
- Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop Bet
It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Texas Rangers offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
The #6 venue in baseball for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.
Among all stadiums, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.
In his previous outing, Reid Detmers conceded a whopping 7 earned runs.
Reid Detmers has utilized his slider 8% less often this year (24%) than he did last year (32%).
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Prop Bet
Today’s version of the Rangers projected lineup is a bit watered down, as their .305 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .322 overall projected rate.
Among all parks, Angel Stadium's left field dimensions are the 10th-deepest.
As a result of his reverse platoon split, Reid Detmers should be in good shape being matched up with 8 bats in the projected offense of the opposite hand in today's matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Reid Detmers will hold that advantage in today's game.
Given the 2.03 disparity between Reid Detmers's 6.67 ERA and his 4.63 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to see better results going forward.
Projection For Reid Detmers Earned Runs Prop Bet
Reid Detmers is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in this weeks game.
Reid Detmers Player Prop Bet: Strikeouts
Strikeouts Prop Bet Odds:
- Strikeouts 5.5 over: 126
- Strikeouts 5.5 under: -160
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop Bet
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Reid Detmers in the 85th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
Recording 94.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Reid Detmers places in the 88th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 3rd-best field in baseball for strikeouts.
As a result of his reverse platoon split, Reid Detmers should be in good shape being matched up with 8 bats in the projected offense of the opposite hand in today's matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Reid Detmers will hold that advantage in today's game.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Prop Bet
Reid Detmers has utilized his slider 8% less often this year (24%) than he did last year (32%).
Reid Detmers's 2131-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 21st percentile among all starters.
Considering the 0.91 difference between Reid Detmers's 10.60 K/9 and his 9.69 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year in terms of strikeouts and should perform worse in future games.
Projection For Reid Detmers Strikeouts Prop Bet
Reid Detmers is projected to have 5.4 Strikeouts in this weeks game.
