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Randy Vásquez

San Diego Padres

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Pittsburgh Pirates

04:05 PM

May 3, 2025

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San Diego Padres

  • Projections
  • Props

Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz, Alexander Canario).

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Mike Estabrook) calling pitches in today's game.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Randy Vasquez has utilized his off-speed and breaking balls 15% more often this season (70.9%) than he did last season (55.9%).

Randy Vasquez's 2407.5-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 84th percentile out of all SPs.

With a 0.63 deviation between Randy Vasquez's 5.17 K/9 and his 5.80 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to positively regress the rest of the season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Randy Vasquez in the 1st percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Vasquez to throw 84 pitches in today's game (5th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Martin Maldonado (the Padres's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

PNC Park projects as the #28 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

Randy Vasquez is projected to have 3.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -135

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Randy Vasquez in the 4th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Martin Maldonado (the Padres's expected catcher in today's matchup) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

PNC Park grades out as the #5 venue in MLB for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Mike Estabrook) calling pitches in today's game.

PNC Park has the 6th-tallest fences among all parks.

Randy Vasquez is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #25 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense projects as the best among every team playing today.

In his last start, Randy Vasquez turned in a great performance and conceded 0 ER.

Randy Vasquez is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Randy Vásquez Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-166)
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-175)
-
ov 5.5 (120)
un 5.5 (-166)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-129)
un 2.5 (-106)
ov 2.5 (-130)
un 2.5 (-105)
-
ov 2.5 (-129)
un 2.5 (-106)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (120)
un 3.5 (-156)
ov 3.5 (110)
un 3.5 (-140)
ov 3.5 (116)
un 3.5 (-148)
ov 3.5 (116)
un 3.5 (-160)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-184)
un 1.5 (133)
ov 1.5 (-190)
un 1.5 (135)
-
ov 1.5 (-184)
un 1.5 (133)

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