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Patrick Corbin

Texas Rangers

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Texas Rangers

04:05 PM

May 31, 2025

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St. Louis Cardinals

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -109

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Patrick Corbin in the 4th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) calling pitches today.

Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

Patrick Corbin's fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this season (90.4 mph) below where it was last year (91.4 mph).

Among all SPs, Patrick Corbin's fastball spin rate of 2151.2 rpm ranks in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for batting average.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions in the league.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the schedule today at 37%.

Patrick Corbin is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Globe Life Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for batting average.

Globe Life Field has the 7th-deepest CF dimensions in the league.

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the schedule today at 37%.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Patrick Corbin in the 4th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) calling pitches today.

Among all major league parks, Globe Life Field has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

Patrick Corbin's fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this season (90.4 mph) below where it was last year (91.4 mph).

Among all SPs, Patrick Corbin's fastball spin rate of 2151.2 rpm ranks in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

Patrick Corbin is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -174

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 136

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka profiles as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Low humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the schedule today at 37%.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Patrick Corbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Patrick Corbin must realize this, because he has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 63.3% of the time, placing in the 91st percentile.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Patrick Corbin in the 23rd percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 20.6% underlying K%.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) calling pitches today.

Patrick Corbin struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous GS and notched 0 Ks.

Patrick Corbin's fastball velocity has decreased 1 mph this season (90.4 mph) below where it was last year (91.4 mph).

Patrick Corbin is projected to have 3.8 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Patrick Corbin Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-122)
un 5.5 (-115)
ov 5.5 (-120)
un 5.5 (-120)
-
ov 5.5 (-120)
un 5.5 (-118)
ov 5.5 (-129)
un 5.5 (-106)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-109)
ov 2.5 (-130)
un 2.5 (-105)
-
ov 2.5 (-135)
un 2.5 (-105)
ov 2.5 (-125)
un 2.5 (-109)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 16.5 (-122)
un 16.5 (-113)
ov 16.5 (-130)
un 16.5 (-105)
ov 16.5 (-120)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-130)
un 16.5 (-110)
ov 16.5 (-117)
un 16.5 (-117)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 3.5 (-166)
un 3.5 (126)
ov 3.5 (-165)
un 3.5 (125)
ov 3.5 (-174)
un 3.5 (136)
ov 3.5 (-175)
un 3.5 (130)
ov 3.5 (-160)
un 3.5 (116)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-121)
un 1.5 (-114)
ov 1.5 (-120)
un 1.5 (-115)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-121)
un 1.5 (-113)

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