Image 1

Nick Pivetta

San Diego Padres

Image 2

San Diego Padres

04:10 PM

Apr 16, 2025

Image 4

Chicago Cubs

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

Read Projection

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -160

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

Petco Park ranks as the #27 venue in Major League Baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Pivetta will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous game started, Nick Pivetta was on point and conceded 0 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The 4th-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fences among all stadiums.

Nick Pivetta is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team today.

Nick Pivetta is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Read Less

Strikeouts

Read Projection

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -148

Strikeouts 5.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nick Pivetta in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 3rd-best park in the league for strikeouts.

Petco Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Nick Pivetta will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Nick Pivetta's 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a big 1.3-mph decrease from last year's 93.9-mph figure.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Nick Pivetta has relied on his secondary pitches 7.1% less often this year (44.7%) than he did last season (51.8%).

Nick Pivetta has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, posting a 10.52 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.92 — a 0.60 K/9 disparity.

Nick Pivetta is projected to have 6.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

Read Less

Earned Runs

Read Projection

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 4th-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Chicago Cubs.

Among all major league stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

Petco Park has the 5th-lowest fences among all stadiums.

Nick Pivetta is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.7% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #8 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.

The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 5th-weakest out of every team today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Chicago Cubs offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Nick Mahrley grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.

Petco Park ranks as the #27 venue in Major League Baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Pivetta will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous game started, Nick Pivetta was on point and conceded 0 ER.

Nick Pivetta is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

Read Less

Nick Pivetta Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-122)
un 4.5 (-115)
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-110)
-
ov 4.5 (-130)
un 4.5 (-110)
ov 4.5 (-113)
un 4.5 (-121)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (118)
un 2.5 (-161)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-160)
-
ov 2.5 (115)
un 2.5 (-160)
-
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-149)
un 17.5 (109)
ov 17.5 (-155)
un 17.5 (115)
ov 17.5 (-148)
un 17.5 (112)
ov 17.5 (-160)
un 17.5 (115)
ov 17.5 (-154)
un 17.5 (112)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 5.5 (-157)
un 5.5 (118)
ov 5.5 (-150)
un 5.5 (115)
ov 5.5 (-164)
un 5.5 (128)
ov 5.5 (-150)
un 5.5 (115)
ov 5.5 (-160)
un 5.5 (116)
ov 5.5 (-160)
un 5.5 (120)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-144)
un 1.5 (104)
ov 1.5 (-145)
un 1.5 (105)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-142)
un 1.5 (104)
-

Related Articles