Mitch Keller Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 16.5 over: -125

Pitching Outs 16.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Mitch Keller has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 6.8 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball bats, Mitch Keller and his 31.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's outing squaring off against 4 opposing GB bats.

In his previous game started, Mitch Keller was on point and gave up 1 ER.

Mitch Keller has gone to his slider 9.3% more often this season (34.4%) than he did last year (25.1%).

Mitch Keller's 2423-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 82nd percentile out of all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward

James Hoye grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #5 park in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 16.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -125

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Mitch Keller has been granted more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 6.8 more adjusted pitches-per-game than the average starting pitcher.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball bats, Mitch Keller and his 31.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's outing squaring off against 4 opposing GB bats.

Mitch Keller has gone to his slider 9.3% more often this season (34.4%) than he did last year (25.1%).

Mitch Keller's 2423-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 82nd percentile out of all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

James Hoye grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone today.

This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most humid conditions of the day (81%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mitch Keller in today's game.

Mitch Keller's 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.6-mph drop off from last year's 94.5-mph mark.

Mitch Keller has put up a 9.1% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 4.7 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 3.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 3.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The best projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward

James Hoye grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Dodger Stadium profiles as the #5 park in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the league, Dodger Stadium's centerfield dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball bats, Mitch Keller and his 31.3% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good position in today's outing squaring off against 4 opposing GB bats.

In his previous game started, Mitch Keller was on point and gave up 1 ER.

Mitch Keller has gone to his slider 9.3% more often this season (34.4%) than he did last year (25.1%).

Mitch Keller's 2423-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 82nd percentile out of all starters.

Mitch Keller is projected to have 3.5 Earned Runs in today's game.