Miles Mikolas Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 125

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -156

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Nationals Park projects as the #24 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Miles Mikolas was firing on all cylinders in his last start and conceded 2 ER.

Miles Mikolas's higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this season (56.7% compared to 49% last year) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

With a 1.01 discrepancy between Miles Mikolas's 4.76 ERA and his 3.76 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should positively regress going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Miles Mikolas is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate today.

In the league, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Given that flyball hitters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Miles Mikolas and his 34.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in today's outing squaring off against 5 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miles Mikolas in today's game.

Miles Mikolas is projected to have 16.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: 105

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Washington Nationals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (James Wood, Jose Tena, Riley Adams).

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Miles Mikolas's higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this season (56.7% compared to 49% last year) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Miles Mikolas has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 4.76 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 5.84 — a 1.08 K/9 disparity.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Miles Mikolas in the 3rd percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Miles Mikolas is projected to throw 85 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate today.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Given that flyball hitters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Miles Mikolas and his 34.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in today's outing squaring off against 5 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miles Mikolas in today's game.

Miles Mikolas is projected to have 3 Strikeouts in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -155

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In the league, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Given that flyball hitters have a notable advantage over groundball pitchers, Miles Mikolas and his 34.4% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in today's outing squaring off against 5 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miles Mikolas in today's game.

Miles Mikolas's fastball velocity has fallen 1.8 mph this year (91.3 mph) below where it was last year (93.1 mph).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Nationals Park projects as the #24 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Miles Mikolas was firing on all cylinders in his last start and conceded 2 ER.

Miles Mikolas's higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this season (56.7% compared to 49% last year) should work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

With a 1.01 discrepancy between Miles Mikolas's 4.76 ERA and his 3.76 FIP, it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should positively regress going forward.

Miles Mikolas is projected to have 3 Earned Runs in today's game.