Michael Wacha Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -155

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Chicago White Sox have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games

The #1 ballpark in the league for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Michael Wacha's 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph decline from last year's 93.6-mph mark.

Michael Wacha's 2170-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 14th percentile among all starters.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, Michael Wacha's overall pitching talent grades out in the 78th percentile out of all SPs in baseball currently.

The worst projected offense on the slate in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Chicago White Sox.

In MLB, Kauffman Stadium's right field fences are the deepest.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games today at 59°.

Michael Wacha is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #30 HR venue in the majors in today's game.

Michael Wacha is projected to have 2.3 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -113

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -118

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup projects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games today at 59°.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Michael Wacha will hold that advantage in today's game.

Michael Wacha's sinker rate has decreased by 5.7% from last year to this one (15.3% to 9.6%) .

Michael Wacha has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.81 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.13 — a 1.33 K/9 discrepancy.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The #5 ballpark in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Michael Wacha struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his last outing and notched 2 Ks.

Michael Wacha's 92.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a notable 1-mph decline from last year's 93.6-mph mark.

Michael Wacha's 2170-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 14th percentile among all starters.

Michael Wacha is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in today's game.