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Michael Lorenzen

Kansas City Royals

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Milwaukee Brewers

07:40 PM

Apr 1, 2025

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Kansas City Royals

  • Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -160

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.

Among all parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Michael Lorenzen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Michael Lorenzen has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.31 figure is considerably lower than his 4.93 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game since the start of last season.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Chris Conroy) calling pitches today.

The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Michael Lorenzen was firing on all cylinders in his previous outing and conceded 0 ER.

Out of all starters, Michael Lorenzen's fastball spin rate of 2387 rpm ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 14.5 over: -215

Pitching Outs 14.5 under: 155

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game since the start of last season.

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Chris Conroy) calling pitches today.

The #7 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Michael Lorenzen was firing on all cylinders in his previous outing and conceded 0 ER.

Out of all starters, Michael Lorenzen's fastball spin rate of 2387 rpm ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.

Among all parks, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Michael Lorenzen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Michael Lorenzen has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.31 figure is considerably lower than his 4.93 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 15 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -170

Strikeouts 3.5 under: 130

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Rhys Hoskins, Oliver Dunn, Garrett Mitchell).

It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Chris Conroy) calling pitches today.

American Family Field grades out as the #1 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Out of all starters, Michael Lorenzen's fastball spin rate of 2387 rpm ranks in the 79th percentile since the start of last season.

With a 0.26 disparity between Michael Lorenzen's 6.70 K/9 and his 6.96 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and should see better results the rest of the season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael Lorenzen in the 19th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.

The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 15° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.

Michael Lorenzen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Michael Lorenzen wasn't on when it came to striking batters out in his previous GS and put up 2 Ks.

Michael Lorenzen is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Michael Lorenzen Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-114)
un 4.5 (-119)
ov 4.5 (-115)
un 4.5 (-120)
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Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (119)
un 2.5 (-160)
ov 2.5 (120)
un 2.5 (-160)
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Total Outs Recorded
ov 14.5 (-217)
un 14.5 (156)
ov 14.5 (-215)
un 14.5 (155)
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Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (129)
un 4.5 (-170)
ov 4.5 (130)
un 4.5 (-165)
ov 3.5 (-156)
un 3.5 (122)
ov 3.5 (-165)
un 3.5 (125)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (140)
un 2.5 (-195)
ov 2.5 (140)
un 2.5 (-195)
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