Merrill Kelly Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 15.5 over: 102

Pitching Outs 15.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Mets offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) calling pitches in today's game.

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Chase Field.

In the league, the 10th-tallest fences are at Chase Field.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team today.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The New York Mets projected offense ranks as the 3rd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for batting average.

The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

Merrill Kelly's 91-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1-mph fall off from last season's 92-mph figure.

Merrill Kelly has used his cutter 9% less often this season (16.2%) than he did last year (25.2%).

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 15.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -120

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The New York Mets projected offense ranks as the 3rd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 3rd-best park in Major League Baseball for batting average.

The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

Merrill Kelly's 91-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a big 1-mph fall off from last season's 92-mph figure.

Merrill Kelly has used his cutter 9% less often this season (16.2%) than he did last year (25.2%).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Mets offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) calling pitches in today's game.

The 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Chase Field.

In the league, the 10th-tallest fences are at Chase Field.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team today.

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 112

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -142

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) calling pitches in today's game.

Merrill Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Considering the 1.46 deviation between Merrill Kelly's 6.45 K/9 and his 7.91 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see positive regression the rest of the season.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The New York Mets (20.8 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy group of batters of the day.

Chase Field ranks as the #27 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 10° hotter than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for offense.

In his last start, Merrill Kelly struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 4.2 Strikeouts in today's game.