Merrill Kelly Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 126

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -174

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for batting average.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

With 9 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Merrill Kelly meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Merrill Kelly's 91-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1-mph decrease from last season's 92-mph figure.

Merrill Kelly has used his cut-fastball 7.5% less often this year (17.7%) than he did last season (25.2%).

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Merrill Kelly's overall pitching skill ranks in the 80th percentile out of all SPs in the game right now.

The 5th-worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Washington Nationals.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Washington Nationals offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.

Chase Field has the 10th-highest fences in the majors.

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 2.4 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: -120

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Recording 94.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Merrill Kelly places in the 87th percentile.

Because groundball pitchers hold a substantial edge over groundball hitters, Merrill Kelly and his 42.7% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in today's matchup facing 6 opposing GB hitters.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Merrill Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Chase Field profiles as the #26 venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

With 9 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Merrill Kelly meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Merrill Kelly didn't have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last outing and compiled 1 Ks.

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 4.9 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 105

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s judgement, Merrill Kelly's overall pitching skill ranks in the 80th percentile out of all SPs in the game right now.

Recording 94.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Merrill Kelly places in the 87th percentile.

The 5th-worst projected lineup of the day in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Washington Nationals.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Washington Nationals offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 3rd-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for batting average.

The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

With 9 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Merrill Kelly meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Merrill Kelly's 91-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1-mph decrease from last season's 92-mph figure.

Merrill Kelly has used his cut-fastball 7.5% less often this year (17.7%) than he did last season (25.2%).

Merrill Kelly is projected to have 17.9 Pitching Outs in today's game.