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Max Kepler

Philadelphia Phillies

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Toronto Blue Jays

03:07 PM

Jun 5, 2025

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Philadelphia Phillies

  • Projections
  • Props

Hits

Read Projection

Hits Prop Odds:

Hits 0.5 over: -147

Hits 0.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Prop

Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Max Kepler has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

Max Kepler has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .304 rate is considerably lower than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Max Kepler is projected to have 0.9 Hits in today's game.

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RBIs

Read Projection

RBIs Prop Odds:

RBIs 0.5 over: 215

RBIs 0.5 under: -286

Trends Favoring The Over RBIs Prop

Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Max Kepler has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.5) provides evidence that Max Kepler has had some very poor luck this year with his 17.6 actual HR/600.

Trends Favoring The Under RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Max Kepler is projected to have 0.6 RBIs in today's game.

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Total Bases

Read Projection

Total Bases Prop Odds:

Total Bases 0.5 over: -147

Total Bases 0.5 under: 115

Trends Favoring The Over Total Bases Prop

Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Max Kepler has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.5) provides evidence that Max Kepler has had some very poor luck this year with his 17.6 actual HR/600.

Trends Favoring The Under Total Bases Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Max Kepler is projected to have 0.9 Total Bases in today's game.

Read Less

Home Runs

Read Projection

Home Runs Prop Odds:

Home Runs 0.5 over: 600

Home Runs 0.5 under: -909

Trends Favoring The Over Home Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Max Kepler has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

Max Kepler's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (27° over the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 15° seasonal figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Home Runs Shots Prop

Max Kepler is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Max Kepler is projected to have 0.2 Home Runs in today's game.

Read Less

Hits Runs and RBIs

Read Projection

Hits Runs and RBIs Prop Odds:

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 over: 115

Hits Runs and RBIs 1.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Hits Runs and RBIs Prop

Max Kepler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today's matchup... and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

Max Kepler has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.9% seasonal rate to 22.7% in the last two weeks.

In the last two weeks' worth of games, Max Kepler's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph of late.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.5) provides evidence that Max Kepler has had some very poor luck this year with his 17.6 actual HR/600.

Trends Favoring The Under Hits Runs and RBIs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.

Max Kepler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Max Kepler is projected to have 2 Hits Runs and RBIs in today's game.

Read Less

Max Kepler Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings BetMGM Caesars
Doubles
ov 0.5 (350)
un 0.5 (-550)
-
ov 0.5 (360)
un 0.5 (-550)
ov 0.5 (340)
un 0.5 (-550)
Singles
ov 0.5 (145)
un 0.5 (-195)
-
ov 0.5 (150)
un 0.5 (-200)
ov 0.5 (140)
un 0.5 (-190)
Stolen Bases
ov 0.5 (2150)
un 0.5 (-20000)
ov 0.5 (2800)
un 0.5 (-20000)
ov 0.5 (1500)
-
Total Bases
ov 0.5 (-152)
un 0.5 (112)
ov 0.5 (-155)
un 0.5 (110)
ov 0.5 (-155)
un 0.5 (110)
ov 0.5 (-145)
un 0.5 (115)
Total Hits
ov 0.5 (-150)
un 0.5 (115)
ov 0.5 (-155)
un 0.5 (115)
ov 0.5 (-150)
un 0.5 (115)
ov 0.5 (-145)
un 0.5 (115)
Total Hits, Runs, & RBIs
ov 1.5 (111)
un 1.5 (-149)
ov 1.5 (105)
un 1.5 (-150)
ov 1.5 (115)
un 1.5 (-150)
ov 1.5 (115)
un 1.5 (-145)
Total Home Runs
ov 0.5 (500)
un 0.5 (-750)
-
ov 0.5 (500)
un 0.5 (-750)
-
Total RBIs
ov 0.5 (203)
un 0.5 (-285)
ov 0.5 (200)
un 0.5 (-290)
ov 0.5 (210)
un 0.5 (-285)
ov 0.5 (200)
un 0.5 (-280)
Total Runs
ov 0.5 (135)
un 0.5 (-185)
ov 0.5 (130)
un 0.5 (-185)
ov 0.5 (140)
un 0.5 (-190)
ov 0.5 (135)
un 0.5 (-180)

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