• Projections
  • Props

Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -145

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 110

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fences among all parks.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate at 82°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 5th-best SP in the game right now.

Compared to their .330 overall projected rate, the .316 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Baltimore Orioles projected lineup today suggests this version of the lineup significantly weaker than usual.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.

Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yankee Stadium grades out as the #29 venue in MLB for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Max Fried is projected to have 1.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: -110

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -116

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Max Fried in the 85th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

Max Fried has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 5.1 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.

The Baltimore Orioles have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colton Cowser, Ramon Laureano, Gary Sanchez, Coby Mayo).

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.

Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Yankee Stadium projects as the #22 venue in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate at 82°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Max Fried has utilized his secondary pitches 12% less often this year (38.9%) than he did last year (50.9%).

Max Fried is projected to have 6.3 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 18.5 over: 136

Pitching Outs 18.5 under: -184

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Max Fried as the 5th-best SP in the game right now.

Max Fried has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 5.1 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.

Compared to their .330 overall projected rate, the .316 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Baltimore Orioles projected lineup today suggests this version of the lineup significantly weaker than usual.

Adam Hamari projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be umping today.

Projected catcher Austin Wells grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future

Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fences among all parks.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate at 82°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Max Fried is projected to have 17.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Max Fried Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-142)
un 4.5 (103)
ov 4.5 (-135)
un 4.5 (-105)
-
ov 4.5 (-145)
un 4.5 (105)
ov 4.5 (-142)
un 4.5 (104)
ov 4.5 (-140)
un 4.5 (105)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-147)
un 1.5 (110)
ov 1.5 (-140)
un 1.5 (110)
-
ov 1.5 (-155)
un 1.5 (110)
ov 1.5 (-137)
un 1.5 (100)
ov 1.5 (-150)
un 1.5 (115)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 18.5 (128)
un 18.5 (-174)
ov 18.5 (125)
un 18.5 (-160)
ov 18.5 (122)
un 18.5 (-164)
ov 18.5 (125)
un 18.5 (-175)
ov 18.5 (139)
un 18.5 (-194)
ov 18.5 (130)
un 18.5 (-170)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (-140)
un 6.5 (105)
ov 6.5 (-145)
un 6.5 (110)
ov 6.5 (-144)
un 6.5 (112)
ov 7.5 (120)
un 7.5 (-155)
ov 6.5 (-137)
un 6.5 (100)
ov 6.5 (-150)
un 6.5 (115)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (-131)
un 1.5 (-105)
ov 1.5 (-125)
un 1.5 (-110)
-
-
ov 1.5 (-129)
un 1.5 (-106)
-

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