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Matthew Liberatore

St. Louis Cardinals

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Cleveland Guardians

12:05 PM

Jun 29, 2025

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St. Louis Cardinals

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -152

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Matthew Liberatore has tallied 17.3 outs per start this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The Cleveland Guardians projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-weakest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.

In MLB, the 4th-highest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Cleveland Guardians offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Wills) calling pitches today.

The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field.

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in this matchup.

Matthew Liberatore is projected to have 16.1 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 4.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 4.5 under: -141

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Johnathan Rodriguez, Austin Hedges, Gabriel Arias).

Progressive Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers.

Given that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Matthew Liberatore (42.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected offense.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Wills) calling pitches today.

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matthew Liberatore in today's game.

Among all starters, Matthew Liberatore's fastball spin rate of 2097 rpm grades out in the 10th percentile this year.

Matthew Liberatore is projected to have 4.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -110

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -130

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

It may be best to expect better numbers for the Cleveland Guardians offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Wills) calling pitches today.

The #3 stadium in baseball for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

The 3rd-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Progressive Field.

The Cleveland Guardians have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in this matchup.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The Cleveland Guardians projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-weakest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.

In MLB, the 4th-highest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the best of the day for pitchers.

Given that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Matthew Liberatore (42.9% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team's projected offense.

Matthew Liberatore is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

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Matthew Liberatore Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars Fanatics
Hits Allowed
ov 5.5 (-144)
un 5.5 (103)
ov 5.5 (-130)
un 5.5 (-110)
-
ov 5.5 (-155)
un 5.5 (110)
ov 5.5 (-142)
un 5.5 (104)
-
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 2.5 (-104)
un 2.5 (-131)
ov 2.5 (105)
un 2.5 (-135)
-
ov 2.5 (-110)
un 2.5 (-130)
ov 2.5 (-103)
un 2.5 (-133)
-
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-141)
un 17.5 (104)
ov 17.5 (-130)
un 17.5 (100)
ov 17.5 (-144)
un 17.5 (108)
ov 17.5 (-140)
un 17.5 (100)
ov 17.5 (-148)
un 17.5 (108)
-
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 4.5 (105)
un 4.5 (-139)
ov 4.5 (105)
un 4.5 (-135)
ov 4.5 (102)
un 4.5 (-130)
ov 4.5 (105)
un 4.5 (-140)
ov 4.5 (104)
un 4.5 (-142)
ov 4.5 (110)
un 4.5 (-145)
Walks Allowed
ov 1.5 (141)
un 1.5 (-200)
ov 1.5 (140)
un 1.5 (-200)
-
-
ov 1.5 (143)
un 1.5 (-199)
-

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