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MacKenzie Gore

Washington Nationals

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Washington Nationals

01:35 PM

May 11, 2025

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St. Louis Cardinals

  • Projections
  • Props

Pitching Outs

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Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -135

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 105

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, MacKenzie Gore's overall pitching talent is in the 86th percentile out of all SPs in the league right now.

MacKenzie Gore is expected to throw 98 pitches in today's game, which is the 5th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

Nationals Park projects as the #24 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

In the league, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

MacKenzie Gore's 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.1-mph drop off from last season's 95.9-mph figure.

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 16.6 Pitching Outs in today's game.

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Strikeouts

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Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 6.5 over: -125

Strikeouts 6.5 under: -105

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout skill, MacKenzie Gore projects as the 13th-best SP in Major League Baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

MacKenzie Gore is expected to throw 98 pitches in today's game, which is the 5th-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

MacKenzie Gore has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this game.

MacKenzie Gore will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 19.9% underlying K%.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

MacKenzie Gore's 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.1-mph drop off from last season's 95.9-mph figure.

With a 2.43 difference between MacKenzie Gore's 13.30 K/9 and his 10.88 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should perform worse going forward.

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 6 Strikeouts in today's game.

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Earned Runs

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Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 1.5 over: -170

Earned Runs 1.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

In the league, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 9th-shallowest.

The weather report projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Washington Nationals.

MacKenzie Gore's 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.1-mph drop off from last season's 95.9-mph figure.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s estimation, MacKenzie Gore's overall pitching talent is in the 86th percentile out of all SPs in the league right now.

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 6th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward

Nationals Park projects as the #24 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

MacKenzie Gore has a large reverse platoon split and should be aided by facing 6 opposite-handed hitters in this game.

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 2.5 Earned Runs in today's game.

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MacKenzie Gore Player Prop Odds

Consensus DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars
Hits Allowed
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-116)
ov 4.5 (-120)
un 4.5 (-120)
-
ov 4.5 (-118)
un 4.5 (-120)
ov 4.5 (-121)
un 4.5 (-113)
Total Earned Runs Allowed
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (126)
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (125)
-
ov 1.5 (-175)
un 1.5 (120)
ov 1.5 (-174)
un 1.5 (126)
Total Outs Recorded
ov 17.5 (-140)
un 17.5 (103)
ov 17.5 (-140)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-138)
un 17.5 (106)
ov 17.5 (-145)
un 17.5 (105)
ov 17.5 (-137)
un 17.5 (100)
Total Pitching Strikeouts
ov 6.5 (-114)
un 6.5 (-115)
ov 6.5 (-115)
un 6.5 (-110)
ov 6.5 (-108)
un 6.5 (-118)
ov 6.5 (-125)
un 6.5 (-105)
ov 6.5 (-121)
un 6.5 (-113)
Walks Allowed
ov 2.5 (139)
un 2.5 (-197)
ov 2.5 (155)
un 2.5 (-220)
-
-
ov 2.5 (133)
un 2.5 (-184)

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