MacKenzie Gore Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 110

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

When assessing his strikeout talent, MacKenzie Gore projects as the 13th-best pitcher in baseball currently, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Recording 96.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, MacKenzie Gore places in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 8th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Petco Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.

This matchup is projected to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The San Diego Padres (18.2 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the least strikeout-prone group of hitters on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Riley Adams (the Nationals's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

MacKenzie Gore will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

MacKenzie Gore's 94.7-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a substantial 1.2-mph decline from last year's 95.9-mph figure.

Considering the 0.94 deviation between MacKenzie Gore's 11.90 K/9 and his 10.96 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should negatively regress the rest of the season.

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 5.2 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -160

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 120

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, MacKenzie Gore's overall pitching talent grades out in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.

Recording 96.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, MacKenzie Gore places in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for walks.

This matchup is projected to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

MacKenzie Gore was rolling in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The San Diego Padres have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Riley Adams (the Nationals's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.

MacKenzie Gore is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 16.2 Pitching Outs in today's game.

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -140

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The San Diego Padres have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Riley Adams (the Nationals's expected catcher in today's matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

In the majors, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Petco Park has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.

MacKenzie Gore is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #8 HR venue in Major League Baseball in this game.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)'s evaluation, MacKenzie Gore's overall pitching talent grades out in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for walks.

This matchup is projected to have the 4th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

MacKenzie Gore was rolling in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.

MacKenzie Gore has used his four-seamer 5.1% less often this season (50.2%) than he did last season (55.3%).

MacKenzie Gore is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.