Luis Castillo Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -130

Earned Runs 2.5 under: 100

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today.

Luis Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Luis Castillo's 94.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.1-mph fall off from last season's 95.5-mph mark.

Out of all starting pitchers, Luis Castillo's fastball spin rate of 2204 rpm grades out in the 14th percentile this year.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Jeremie Rehak grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions in MLB.

The league's 5th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Target Field.

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate today at 40%.

Luis Castillo is projected to have 2.9 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: -120

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Luis Castillo has averaged 94.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Jeremie Rehak grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Low humidity has a small but significant correlation with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate today at 40%.

Considering that flyball pitchers hold a significant advantage over flyball hitters, Luis Castillo and his 35% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this matchup being matched up with 2 opposing FB hitters.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Luis Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Luis Castillo's 94.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.1-mph fall off from last season's 95.5-mph mark.

Out of all starting pitchers, Luis Castillo's fastball spin rate of 2204 rpm grades out in the 14th percentile this year.

Luis Castillo's high usage rate of his fastball (67.1% this year) is likely dampening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Luis Castillo is projected to have 5.5 Strikeouts in today's game.

Pitching Outs Prop Odds:

Pitching Outs 17.5 over: -168

Pitching Outs 17.5 under: 126

Trends Favoring The Over Pitching Outs Prop

Luis Castillo has averaged 94.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Jeremie Rehak grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Cal Raleigh, the Mariners's expected catcher in today's game, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions in MLB.

The league's 5th-highest fence height (on average) can be found at Target Field.

Trends Favoring The Under Pitching Outs Shots Prop

The #4 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

The Seattle Mariners outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today.

Luis Castillo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Luis Castillo's 94.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.1-mph fall off from last season's 95.5-mph mark.

Out of all starting pitchers, Luis Castillo's fastball spin rate of 2204 rpm grades out in the 14th percentile this year.

Luis Castillo is projected to have 17 Pitching Outs in today's game.