Lucas Giolito Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: -105

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -135

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The 3rd-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season

Fenway Park projects as the #2 park in the game for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The shallowest left field fences among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.

Baltimore Orioles hitters as a unit rank 6th- in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 9.9% Barrel%.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

Fenway Park has the 2nd-tallest fences in MLB.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup expects the 7th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 46°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 21.9-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.

Due to his reverse platoon split, Lucas Giolito will benefit from matching up with 7 hitters in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side in this outing.

The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the strongest out of every team playing today.

Lucas Giolito is projected to have 2.6 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 5.5 over: 120

Strikeouts 5.5 under: -166

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup expects the 7th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 46°.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 21.9-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers.

Due to his reverse platoon split, Lucas Giolito will benefit from matching up with 7 hitters in the projected lineup who bat from the opposite side in this outing.

Lucas Giolito will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats across the board.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for strikeouts.

Lucas Giolito is projected to have 5.3 Strikeouts in today's game.