Detroit Tigers
Earned Runs Prop Odds:
Earned Runs 2.5 over: -125
Earned Runs 2.5 under: -110
Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Keider Montero in the 10th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.
The Kansas City Royals have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future
Mark Wegner profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the best stadium in the league for walks.
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.
Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop
Jake Rogers, the Tigers's expected catcher today, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
In the league, Kauffman Stadium's RF fences are the deepest.
Keider Montero is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #30 HR venue among all parks in this matchup.
Considering that flyball batters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Keider Montero (33.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.
The 7.1% Barrel% of the Kansas City Royals ranks them as the #27 team in baseball this year by this metric.
Keider Montero is projected to have 3.1 Earned Runs in today's game.
Strikeouts Prop Odds:
Strikeouts 3.5 over: 123
Strikeouts 3.5 under: -165
Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop
Jake Rogers, the Tigers's expected catcher today, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering that flyball batters are less effective against flyball pitchers, Keider Montero (33.4% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposition's projected offense.
Keider Montero was in good form in his last GS and put up 8 strikeouts.
Given the 1.05 deviation between Keider Montero's 6.06 K/9 and his 7.10 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see positive regression the rest of the season.
Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Keider Montero in the 21st percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keider Montero to throw 85 pitches in this game (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Mark Wegner profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.
Keider Montero is projected to have 3.5 Strikeouts in today's game.
Hits Allowed | |
---|---|
![]() | ov 5.5 (-134) un 5.5 (-104) |
![]() | ov 5.5 (-130) un 5.5 (-110) |
![]() | - |
![]() | ov 5.5 (-130) un 5.5 (-110) |
![]() | ov 5.5 (-142) un 5.5 (104) |
Total Earned Runs Allowed | |
---|---|
![]() | ov 2.5 (-131) un 2.5 (-106) |
![]() | ov 2.5 (-130) un 2.5 (-105) |
![]() | - |
![]() | ov 2.5 (-130) un 2.5 (-110) |
![]() | ov 2.5 (-137) un 2.5 (100) |