Justin Wrobleski Projections, Prop Bets & Odds

Earned Runs Prop Odds:

Earned Runs 2.5 over: 115

Earned Runs 2.5 under: -145

Trends Favoring The Over Earned Runs Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Justin Wrobleski in the 11th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

Will Smith, the Dodgers's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

Out of every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Justin Wrobleski will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Trends Favoring The Under Earned Runs Shots Prop

The St. Louis Cardinals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games

Justin Wrobleski is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #27 HR venue in MLB in this game.

Justin Wrobleski's 94.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 75th percentile among all SPs.

Justin Wrobleski has been unlucky since the start of last season, compiling a 6.16 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 5.08 — a 1.08 difference.

St. Louis's 91.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #26 squad in baseball this year by this metric.

Justin Wrobleski is projected to have 2.8 Earned Runs in today's game.

Strikeouts Prop Odds:

Strikeouts 3.5 over: -118

Strikeouts 3.5 under: -115

Trends Favoring The Over Strikeouts Prop

Justin Wrobleski's 94.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season ranks in the 75th percentile among all SPs.

With a 0.63 discrepancy between Justin Wrobleski's 6.75 K/9 and his 7.38 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to perform better going forward.

Trends Favoring The Under Strikeouts Shots Prop

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Wrobleski to throw 81 pitches in this game (2nd-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Will Smith, the Dodgers's expected catcher in today's game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humidity of all games on the slate today (83%); there is a small but significant connection with increased offense (and decreased strikeouts) when the weather is humid.

Justin Wrobleski will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Justin Wrobleski has gone to his fastball a lot since the start of last season, though: 61.8% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Justin Wrobleski is projected to have 3.2 Strikeouts in today's game.